Luton
vs
Bradford
0 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | Bobby Pointon | ||
| 46′ | Callumm Connolly | ||
| 60′ | Dan Gore | ||
| 62′ | Josh NeufvilleKieran Morgan | ||
| 62′ | Jake BeesleyNick Powell | ||
| 66′ | Kasey PalmerJordan Clark | ||
| 67′ | Antoni Sarcevic | ||
| 72′ | Kieran Morgan | ||
| 75′ | Jake RichardsJamie Donley | ||
| 75′ | E. LawrenceIsaiah Jones | ||
| 75′ | Dan GoreNahki Wells | ||
| 83′ | Harrison Ashby | ||
| 84′ | Hakeem OdofinGideon kadua | ||
| 84′ | Aden·BaldwinMacauley Gillesphey | ||
| 84′ | Bobby PointonCorey O'Keeffe | ||
| 90′ | Macauley Gillesphey | ||
| 90′ | Harrison Ashby |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 14 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 402 | Accurate passes | 184 |
Luton vs Bradford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Luton vs Bradford
| Probability | Luton | Draw | Bradford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 29.5% | 34.5% |
| Market | 44.6% | 26.9% | 28.4% |
| Final | 42.5% | 27.6% | 29.9% |
| Edge | -8.6% | +2.5% | +6.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Luton and Bradford expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Luton and Bradford attack and defence ratings
Luton
Bradford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Luton vs Bradford: result vs prediction
Luton 0 – 1 Bradford
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons
- Barnsley v Leicester — match page
- Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town — team news & stats
- Reading vs Notts County
- Wigan v Wycombe — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Cambridge United
- Peterborough v Doncaster — match page
Before and after this match
Luton vs Bradford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Luton | 42.5% | 2.35 | -8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Luton | 42.5% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Bradford | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Luton win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
Luton vs Bradford stats
Luton and Bradford recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Luton and Bradford going into this match
Luton record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
Bradford record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Luton vs Bradford head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Luton | Bradford | League One | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Bradford | Luton | League One | 2-1 |
| 2019-03-12 | Bradford | Luton | League One | 0-1 |
| 2018-11-27 | Luton | Bradford | League One | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Luton vs Bradford odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.6%, draw 26.9%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.48 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.48 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.64 | 3.30 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.05 | 3.02 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .