League One · Full time ·Matchday 6

Notts County vs Bradford

0 – 1 Full time

11′Ibou Touray
14′Antoni Sarcevic
39′Jack Evans
41′Adam PhillipsKayden Jackson
52′George Christopher John Pratt
58′Lucas Ness
60′Hindolo MustaphaD. Kanu
60′Jack EvansCallum Roberts
60′Darius LipsiucRosaire Longelo
68′Jake BeesleyNick Powell
68′Bobby PointonCorey O'Keeffe
69′D. Kanu
71′George Christopher John Pratt
77′Jacob Bedeau
81′James GibbonsConor·Grant
90′Nick Powell
90′Ibou TourayMacauley Gillesphey

Meadow Lane, NottinghamReferee: A. Chilowicz

Notts County 34%
Draw 30%
Bradford 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 3
51 Possession % 49
5 Corners 4
12 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 0
279 Accurate passes 252

Notts County vs Bradford overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Notts County vs Bradford

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNotts CountyDrawBradford
Model37.3%34.1%28.6%
Market32.6%28.9%38.6%
Final33.7%30.2%36.1%
Edge+4.8%+5.3%-10.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Bradford

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Notts County ↓ / Bradford → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Notts County and Bradford expected goals

Notts County 1.04
Bradford 0.88

Total expected goals: 1.92

Notts County and Bradford attack and defence ratings

Notts County

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Bradford

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Notts County vs Bradford: result vs prediction

Notts County 0 – 1 Bradford

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Notts County vs Bradford markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bradford 36.1% 2.77 -10.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.8% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score No 60.8% 1.65 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.8% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.4% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Notts County33.7%
Draw30.2%
Bradford36.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.2%
Under 2.569.8%
Both teams to scoreYes39.2%
No60.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.9%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)66.3%
Handicap -1Bradford win10.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss71.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.0%
1-114.8%
1-013.9%

Notts County vs Bradford stats

Notts County and Bradford recent form

newest first
Notts County DDWDDD
Bradford WWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Notts County and Bradford going into this match

league record before kick-off

Notts County record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bradford record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Notts County vs Bradford head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Notts County wins 3Draws 2Bradford wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-17BradfordNotts CountyLeague Two1-1
2024-12-21Notts CountyBradfordLeague Two3-0
2024-03-19BradfordNotts CountyLeague Two0-3
2023-11-18Notts CountyBradfordLeague Two4-2
2015-03-14Notts CountyBradfordLeague One1-1
2014-12-28BradfordNotts CountyLeague One1-0
2014-01-01Notts CountyBradfordLeague One3-0
2013-11-26BradfordNotts CountyLeague One1-1
2012-08-11Notts CountyBradfordLeague Cup0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Notts County vs Bradford odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 28.7%, away 38.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.00 3.30 2.32
1xBet 2.87 3.25 2.43
888Sport 2.80 3.25 2.30
Bet365 2.88 3.10 2.45
BetVictor 2.88 3.25 2.45
Betano 2.95 3.30 2.32
Betfair 2.88 3.25 2.45
Dafabet 2.95 3.30 2.44
Marathonbet 2.86 3.25 2.41
Pinnacle 2.92 3.39 2.50
SBO 2.72 2.95 2.26
Superbet 2.90 3.25 2.40
Unibet 3.00 3.25 2.35
William Hill 2.80 3.10 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▼ -0.06
X 3.25 ▲ +0.05
2 2.43 ▲ +0.14

14 snapshots recorded, from .