Notts County
vs
Bradford
0 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | Ibou Touray | ||
| 14′ | Antoni Sarcevic | ||
| 39′ | Jack Evans | ||
| 41′ | Adam PhillipsKayden Jackson | ||
| 52′ | George Christopher John Pratt | ||
| 58′ | Lucas Ness | ||
| 60′ | Hindolo MustaphaD. Kanu | ||
| 60′ | Jack EvansCallum Roberts | ||
| 60′ | Darius LipsiucRosaire Longelo | ||
| 68′ | Jake BeesleyNick Powell | ||
| 68′ | Bobby PointonCorey O'Keeffe | ||
| 69′ | D. Kanu | ||
| 71′ | George Christopher John Pratt | ||
| 77′ | Jacob Bedeau | ||
| 81′ | James GibbonsConor·Grant | ||
| 90′ | Nick Powell | ||
| 90′ | Ibou TourayMacauley Gillesphey |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 279 | Accurate passes | 252 |
Notts County vs Bradford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Notts County vs Bradford
| Probability | Notts County | Draw | Bradford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 34.1% | 28.6% |
| Market | 32.6% | 28.9% | 38.6% |
| Final | 33.7% | 30.2% | 36.1% |
| Edge | +4.8% | +5.3% | -10.0% |
Why Bradford
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Notts County and Bradford expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.92
Notts County and Bradford attack and defence ratings
Notts County
Bradford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Notts County vs Bradford: result vs prediction
Notts County 0 – 1 Bradford
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Notts County vs Bradford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bradford | 36.1% | 2.77 | -10.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Notts County | 33.7% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Bradford | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.2% |
| No | 60.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bradford win | 10.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 71.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.9% |
Notts County vs Bradford stats
Notts County and Bradford recent form
| DDWDDD | |
| WWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Notts County and Bradford going into this match
Notts County record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bradford record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Notts County vs Bradford head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-17 | Bradford | Notts County | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Notts County | Bradford | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-19 | Bradford | Notts County | League Two | 0-3 |
| 2023-11-18 | Notts County | Bradford | League Two | 4-2 |
| 2015-03-14 | Notts County | Bradford | League One | 1-1 |
| 2014-12-28 | Bradford | Notts County | League One | 1-0 |
| 2014-01-01 | Notts County | Bradford | League One | 3-0 |
| 2013-11-26 | Bradford | Notts County | League One | 1-1 |
| 2012-08-11 | Notts County | Bradford | League Cup | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Notts County vs Bradford odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 28.7%, away 38.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.32 |
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.25 | 2.43 |
| 888Sport | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.44 |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.25 | 2.41 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92 | 3.39 | 2.50 |
| SBO | 2.72 | 2.95 | 2.26 |
| Superbet | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
| Unibet | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.35 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .