League One · Full time ·Matchday 5

Huddersfield vs Notts County

1 – 1 Full time

12′Marcus Harness
23′Oliver Cooper
40′Radinio Balker
43′Darius Lipsiuc
56′James GibbonsMatthew Baker
63′Ashley FletcherBojan Radulovic
63′Marcus HarnessJ. Smith-Sway
68′D. KanuLuka Smyth
68′Callum RobertsHindolo Mustapha
74′Oliver CooperConor·Grant
74′Nicholas TsaroullaIshé Samuels-Smith
82′Conor·Grant
82′Ibane BowatBali Mumba

John Smith's Stadium, HuddersfieldReferee: R. Martin

Huddersfield 54%
Draw 24%
Notts County 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
65 Possession % 35
9 Corners 6
10 Fouls 15
2 Saves 4
375 Accurate passes 183

Huddersfield vs Notts County overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Huddersfield vs Notts County

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHuddersfieldDrawNotts County
Model49.3%25.9%24.8%
Market56.0%24.0%20.0%
Final54.4%24.5%21.2%
Edge-6.7%+1.9%+4.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Huddersfield

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.18.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Huddersfield ↓ / Notts County → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Huddersfield and Notts County expected goals

Huddersfield 1.72
Notts County 1.18

Total expected goals: 2.90

Huddersfield and Notts County attack and defence ratings

Huddersfield

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Notts County

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Huddersfield vs Notts County: result vs prediction

Huddersfield 1 – 1 Notts County

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Huddersfield vs Notts County markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Huddersfield 54.4% 1.84 -6.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.0% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.9% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Huddersfield54.4%
Draw24.5%
Notts County21.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.5%
Under 2.544.5%
Both teams to scoreYes58.0%
No42.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.8%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)45.6%
Handicap -1Huddersfield win27.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss50.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
2-19.6%
1-08.4%

Huddersfield vs Notts County stats

Huddersfield and Notts County recent form

newest first
Huddersfield WWDWDW
Notts County DWDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Huddersfield and Notts County going into this match

league record before kick-off

Huddersfield record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Notts County record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Huddersfield vs Notts County head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Huddersfield wins 1Draws 1Notts County wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2015-08-11HuddersfieldNotts CountyLeague Cup1-2
2012-01-02Notts CountyHuddersfieldLeague One2-2
2011-11-19HuddersfieldNotts CountyLeague One2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Huddersfield vs Notts County odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.9%, draw 24.2%, away 19.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.80 4.60
1xBet 1.68 3.90 4.64
Bet365 1.62 3.80 5.00
BetVictor 1.67 3.90 4.80
Betano 1.65 3.85 4.90
Betfair 1.67 3.90 4.75
Dafabet 1.69 3.95 4.90
Marathonbet 1.66 3.90 4.70
Pinnacle 1.70 4.14 4.68
SBO 1.54 3.43 4.40
Superbet 1.67 3.85 4.70
Unibet 1.66 3.85 5.00
William Hill 1.67 3.80 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 ▼ -0.02
X 3.90 ▲ +0.26
2 4.69 ▼ -0.11

11 snapshots recorded, from .