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League One · Full time ·Matchday 4

Huddersfield vs Oxford United

3 – 1 Full time

35′Jack Currie
49′Murray Wallace
56′B. Radulovic
62′J. McDonnellK. Andrews
62′M. MissangaL. Snowden
63′A. CollinsD. Kasumu
63′B. RadulovicA. Fletcher
63′T. GoodrhamG. O'Donkor
70′G. O'Donkor
71′B. SpencerP. Kioso
74′J. Taylor
77′J. Taylor
78′M. HarnessJ. Smith-Sway
83′Sam Long
85′Ryan Ledson
88′J. TaylorG. Sebine

John Smith's Stadium, HuddersfieldReferee: B. Speedie

Huddersfield 54%
Draw 25%
Oxford United 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 5
11 Shots on target 2
38 Possession % 62
5 Corners 0
13 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
1 Saves 6
244 Accurate passes 456

Huddersfield vs Oxford United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Huddersfield vs Oxford United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHuddersfieldDrawOxford United
Model54.5%24.0%21.5%
Market53.5%24.8%21.8%
Final53.7%24.6%21.7%
Edge+1.0%-0.7%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Huddersfield

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.16.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Huddersfield ↓ / Oxford United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Huddersfield and Oxford United expected goals

Huddersfield 1.94
Oxford United 1.16

Total expected goals: 3.10

Huddersfield and Oxford United attack and defence ratings

Huddersfield

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Oxford United

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Huddersfield vs Oxford United: result vs prediction

Huddersfield 3 – 1 Oxford United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Huddersfield vs Oxford United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Huddersfield 53.7% 1.86 +1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.7% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.3% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.5% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Huddersfield53.7%
Draw24.6%
Oxford United21.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%
Both teams to scoreYes59.7%
No40.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.3%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)46.3%
Handicap -1Huddersfield win32.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss45.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-19.8%
2-08.5%

Huddersfield vs Oxford United stats

Huddersfield and Oxford United recent form

newest first
Huddersfield WDWDWL
Oxford United WDLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Huddersfield and Oxford United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Huddersfield record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Huddersfield vs Oxford United head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Huddersfield vs Oxford United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.5%, draw 24.8%, away 21.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.71 3.80 4.55
1xBet 1.76 3.78 4.26
Bet365 1.75 3.75 4.20
BetVictor 1.75 3.80 4.33
Betano 1.75 3.75 4.30
Betfair 1.75 3.80 4.33
Dafabet 1.73 3.90 4.70
Marathonbet 1.74 3.78 4.30
Pinnacle 1.79 3.90 4.41
SBO 1.76 3.36 3.83
Superbet 1.77 3.75 4.20
Unibet 1.73 3.80 4.50
William Hill 1.80 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▲ +0.04
X 3.78 ▲ +0.03
2 4.30 ▼ -0.20

5 snapshots recorded, from .