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League One · Full time ·Matchday 4

Wycombe vs Sheffield Wednesday

1 – 2 Full time

6′C. Woodrow
11′L. Barry
16′L. BarryK. Morrison
41′D. HarvieD. Casey
44′Callum Slattery
45′J. Lowe
66′M. BurstowJ. Heskey
68′M. MothersilleS. Thomas
78′A. MorleyJ. Scowen
78′J. GrimmerS. Parker
78′F. OnyedinmaE. Tezgel
79′Ewan Henderson
83′Barry Bannan
87′L. CooperE. Weaver
87′B. BannanA. Al Hamadi

Adams Park, High WycombeReferee: D. Rock

Wycombe 35%
Draw 26%
Sheffield Wednesday 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
49 Possession % 51
6 Corners 6
9 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 3
4 Saves 5
317 Accurate passes 363

Wycombe vs Sheffield Wednesday overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wycombe vs Sheffield Wednesday

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWycombeDrawSheffield Wednesday
Model34.2%23.3%42.6%
Market35.5%26.6%37.9%
Final35.2%25.7%39.1%
Edge-1.3%-3.3%+4.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Sheffield Wednesday

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sheffield Wednesday below the model: +4.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wycombe ↓ / Sheffield Wedn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 5% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Wycombe and Sheffield Wednesday expected goals

Wycombe 1.74
Sheffield Wednesday 1.95

Total expected goals: 3.68

Wycombe and Sheffield Wednesday attack and defence ratings

Wycombe

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.51 +51%

Sheffield Wednesday

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wycombe vs Sheffield Wednesday: result vs prediction

Wycombe 1 – 2 Sheffield Wednesday

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Wycombe vs Sheffield Wednesday markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheffield Wednesday 39.1% 2.56 +4.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.1% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.4% 1.40 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.4% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wycombe35.2%
Draw25.7%
Sheffield Wednesday39.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.1%
Under 2.528.9%
Both teams to scoreYes71.4%
No28.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.9%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)64.8%
Handicap -1Sheffield Wednesday win24.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss57.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
1-28.3%
2-17.4%

Wycombe vs Sheffield Wednesday stats

Wycombe and Sheffield Wednesday recent form

newest first
Wycombe LDDLWL
Sheffield Wednesday WLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wycombe and Sheffield Wednesday going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wycombe record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Sheffield Wednesday record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.

Wycombe vs Sheffield Wednesday head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Wycombe wins 1Draws 5Sheffield Wednesday wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-01-14WycombeSheffield WednesdayLeague One0-1
2022-09-24Sheffield WednesdayWycombeLeague One3-1
2022-04-23WycombeSheffield WednesdayLeague One1-0
2021-11-27Sheffield WednesdayWycombeLeague One2-2
2021-02-09Sheffield WednesdayWycombeChampionship2-0
2020-10-31WycombeSheffield WednesdayChampionship1-0
2012-05-05Sheffield WednesdayWycombeLeague One2-0
2011-10-29WycombeSheffield WednesdayLeague One1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wycombe vs Sheffield Wednesday odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.5%, draw 26.6%, away 37.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.55 3.50 2.55
1xBet 2.60 3.58 2.45
Bet365 2.70 3.30 2.45
BetVictor 2.63 3.60 2.45
Betano 2.62 3.45 2.50
Betfair 2.63 3.70 2.45
Dafabet 2.60 3.45 2.65
Marathonbet 2.66 3.58 2.40
Pinnacle 2.74 3.81 2.43
SBO 2.48 3.23 2.39
Superbet 2.62 3.45 2.52
Unibet 2.65 3.55 2.50
William Hill 2.60 3.50 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 ▲ +0.07
X 3.50 ▲ +0.05
2 2.45 ▼ -0.10

5 snapshots recorded, from .