Stockport County
vs
Wycombe
5 – 1 Full time
Stockport County vs Wycombe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stockport County vs Wycombe
| Probability | Stockport County | Draw | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.9% | 20.7% | 19.4% |
| Market | 49.6% | 26.5% | 23.9% |
| Final | 52.2% | 25.0% | 22.8% |
| Edge | +10.3% | -5.8% | -4.5% |
Why Stockport County
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Stockport County below the model: +10.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stockport County and Wycombe expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Stockport County and Wycombe attack and defence ratings
Stockport County
Wycombe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stockport County vs Wycombe: result vs prediction
Stockport County 5 – 1 Wycombe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stockport County vs Wycombe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 52.2% | 1.92 | +10.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 52.2% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Wycombe | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% |
| No | 33.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 39.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 39.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.7% | |
| 3-1 | 7.3% |
Stockport County vs Wycombe stats
Stockport County and Wycombe recent form
| Stockport County |
LWDLWW |
| Wycombe |
DDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stockport County and Wycombe going into this match
Stockport County record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
Wycombe record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Stockport County vs Wycombe head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Stockport County | Wycombe | League One | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Wycombe | Stockport County | League One | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Wycombe | Stockport County | League One | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-05 | Stockport County | Wycombe | League One | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stockport County vs Wycombe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 26.5%, away 23.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.87 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.52 | 3.92 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.55 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.75 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.52 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.59 | 4.04 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 3.02 | 3.12 |
| Superbet | 1.92 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Unibet | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .