League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Wycombe
vs
Plymouth
1 – 1 Full time
Wycombe
32%
Draw
23%
Plymouth
45%
Wycombe vs Plymouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wycombe vs Plymouth
| Probability | Wycombe | Draw | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.9% | 22.9% | 45.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.9% | 22.9% | 45.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Plymouth
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.70.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
Wycombe and Plymouth expected goals
Wycombe
1.70
Plymouth
2.04
Total expected goals: 3.74
Wycombe and Plymouth attack and defence ratings
Wycombe
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Plymouth
Attack
1.37 +37%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wycombe vs Plymouth: result vs prediction
Wycombe 1 – 1 Plymouth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wycombe vs Plymouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plymouth | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 31.9% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Plymouth | 45.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plymouth win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Wycombe vs Plymouth stats
Wycombe and Plymouth recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wycombe and Plymouth going into this match
Wycombe record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Plymouth record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Wycombe vs Plymouth head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Wycombe wins
1Draws
1Plymouth wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Plymouth | Wycombe | League One | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-09 | Wycombe | Plymouth | League One | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Wycombe | Plymouth | England FA Cup | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.