Plymouth
vs
Coventry
2 – 4 Full time
Plymouth vs Coventry overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Plymouth vs Coventry
| Probability | Plymouth | Draw | Coventry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.2% | 24.8% | 48.9% |
| Market | 20.7% | 23.8% | 55.6% |
| Final | 22.1% | 24.0% | 53.9% |
| Edge | +5.6% | +1.1% | -6.6% |
Why Coventry
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.30.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Plymouth and Coventry expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Plymouth and Coventry attack and defence ratings
Plymouth
Coventry
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Plymouth vs Coventry: result vs prediction
Plymouth 2 – 4 Coventry
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Plymouth vs Coventry markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coventry | 53.9% | 1.85 | -6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plymouth | 22.1% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Coventry | 53.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% |
| No | 37.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Coventry win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.3% |
Plymouth vs Coventry stats
Plymouth vs Coventry head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-21 | Plymouth | Coventry | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2024-12-26 | Coventry | Plymouth | Championship | 4-0 |
| 2024-02-14 | Plymouth | Coventry | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2023-11-28 | Coventry | Plymouth | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2019-01-19 | Plymouth | Coventry | League One | 2-1 |
| 2018-08-18 | Coventry | Plymouth | League One | 1-0 |
| 2014-11-12 | Coventry | Plymouth | EFL Trophy | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Plymouth vs Coventry odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.6%, draw 23.8%, away 55.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.45 | 3.85 | 1.71 |
| 1xBet | 4.58 | 4.10 | 1.75 |
| 888Sport | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.95 | 1.74 |
| Marathonbet | 4.65 | 4.10 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | 4.67 | 4.05 | 1.72 |
| SBO | 4.14 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
| Superbet | 4.45 | 3.85 | 1.71 |
| Unibet | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.64 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .