Watford
vs
Peterborough
1 – 5 Full time
Watford vs Peterborough overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Watford vs Peterborough
| Probability | Watford | Draw | Peterborough |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.6% | 28.2% | 46.2% |
| Market | 54.5% | 23.9% | 21.6% |
| Final | 47.3% | 25.0% | 27.7% |
| Edge | -29.0% | +4.3% | +24.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Watford and Peterborough expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Watford and Peterborough attack and defence ratings
Watford
Peterborough
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Watford vs Peterborough: result vs prediction
Watford 1 – 5 Peterborough
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Watford vs Peterborough markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Watford | 47.3% | 2.11 | -29.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Watford | 47.3% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Peterborough | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% |
| No | 47.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Watford win | 9.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.3% | |
| Loss | 74.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 10.3% | |
| 1-2 | 9.2% |
Watford vs Peterborough stats
Watford and Peterborough recent form
| Watford |
DWWLLL |
| Peterborough |
WLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Watford vs Peterborough head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-04-13 | Peterborough | Watford | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2012-10-20 | Watford | Peterborough | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2012-04-21 | Peterborough | Watford | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2011-10-29 | Watford | Peterborough | Championship | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Watford vs Peterborough odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 23.8%, away 21.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 4.05 | 4.49 |
| 888Sport | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.15 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 4.05 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.97 | 4.48 |
| SBO | 1.65 | 3.53 | 3.87 |
| Superbet | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.35 |
| Unibet | 1.63 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .