League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Peterborough
vs
Mansfield Town
2 – 1 Full time
Peterborough
27%
Draw
26%
Mansfield Town
47%
Peterborough vs Mansfield Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Peterborough vs Mansfield Town
| Probability | Peterborough | Draw | Mansfield Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.6% | 26.2% | 47.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.6% | 26.2% | 47.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mansfield Town
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
7%
Peterborough and Mansfield Town expected goals
Peterborough
1.23
Mansfield Town
1.70
Total expected goals: 2.92
Peterborough and Mansfield Town attack and defence ratings
Peterborough
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Mansfield Town
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Peterborough vs Mansfield Town: result vs prediction
Peterborough 2 – 1 Mansfield Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Peterborough vs Mansfield Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mansfield Town | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 26.6% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Mansfield Town | 47.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mansfield Town win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.0% |
Peterborough vs Mansfield Town stats
Peterborough and Mansfield Town recent form
| Peterborough |
LWLDLD |
| Mansfield Town |
WLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Peterborough and Mansfield Town going into this match
Peterborough record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Mansfield Town record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 70% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Peterborough vs Mansfield Town head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Peterborough wins
1Draws
0Mansfield Town wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Peterborough | Mansfield Town | League One | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Mansfield Town | Peterborough | League One | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.