League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
AFC Wimbledon
vs
Reading
0 – 0 Full time
AFC Wimbledon
23%
Draw
28%
Reading
50%
AFC Wimbledon vs Reading overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AFC Wimbledon vs Reading
| Probability | AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 27.6% | 49.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.8% | 27.6% | 49.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Reading
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 1.00.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
AFC Wimbledon and Reading expected goals
AFC Wimbledon
1.00
Reading
1.58
Total expected goals: 2.57
AFC Wimbledon and Reading attack and defence ratings
AFC Wimbledon
Attack
0.57 -43%
Defence
1.40 +40%
Reading
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AFC Wimbledon vs Reading: result vs prediction
AFC Wimbledon 0 – 0 Reading
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
AFC Wimbledon vs Reading markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reading | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AFC Wimbledon | 22.8% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Reading | 49.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reading win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 50.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 0-1 | 10.8% | |
| 0-2 | 9.5% |
AFC Wimbledon vs Reading stats
AFC Wimbledon and Reading recent form
| AFC Wimbledon |
LDLWLL |
| Reading |
LDLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AFC Wimbledon and Reading going into this match
AFC Wimbledon record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
AFC Wimbledon vs Reading head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
2AFC Wimbledon wins
0Draws
1Reading wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | AFC Wimbledon | Reading | League One | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-26 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.