Stevenage
vs
Reading
0 – 3 Full time
Stevenage vs Reading overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stevenage vs Reading
| Probability | Stevenage | Draw | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.7% | 32.4% | 34.9% |
| Market | 37.2% | 29.3% | 33.5% |
| Final | 36.1% | 30.1% | 33.8% |
| Edge | -4.5% | +3.1% | +1.4% |
Why Stevenage
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stevenage and Reading expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Stevenage and Reading attack and defence ratings
Stevenage
Reading
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stevenage vs Reading: result vs prediction
Stevenage 0 – 3 Reading
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stevenage vs Reading markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 36.1% | 2.77 | -4.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 36.1% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Reading | 33.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.2% |
| No | 55.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stevenage win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 67.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.3% | |
| 0-1 | 11.6% |
Stevenage vs Reading stats
Stevenage vs Reading head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Stevenage | Reading | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Reading | Stevenage | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Reading | Stevenage | League One | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Stevenage | Reading | League One | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-06 | Stevenage | Reading | League One | 0-1 |
| 2023-08-19 | Reading | Stevenage | League One | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-09 | Reading | Stevenage | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2018-01-16 | Reading | Stevenage | FA Cup | 3-0 |
| 2018-01-06 | Stevenage | Reading | FA Cup | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stevenage vs Reading odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.2%, draw 29.3%, away 33.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.52 | 3.15 | 2.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.91 |
| Pinnacle | 2.63 | 3.24 | 2.86 |
| SBO | 2.39 | 2.91 | 2.56 |
| Superbet | 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.80 |
| Unibet | 2.38 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 2.90 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .