Reading
vs
Mansfield Town
5 – 0 Full time
| 35′ | J. Marriott | ||
| 40′ | B. Ward | ||
| 44′ | G. Earthy | ||
| 46′ | L. ThompsonR. Hendry | ||
| 46′ | N. Moriah-WelshG. Maris | ||
| 58′ | J. Marriott | ||
| 68′ | G. EarthyR. Williams | ||
| 68′ | J. MarriottJ. Brown | ||
| 68′ | L. ReedT. Roberts | ||
| 69′ | D. McGoldrickF. Blake-Tracy | ||
| 72′ | Joel Pereira | ||
| 76′ | R. OatesL. Bolton | ||
| 77′ | A. RinomhotaC. Savage | ||
| 80′ | J. Brown | ||
| 82′ | P. O'ConnorC. Masterson | ||
| 82′ | K. LisbieD. Kyerewaa |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 340 | Accurate passes | 281 |
Reading vs Mansfield Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Reading vs Mansfield Town
| Probability | Reading | Draw | Mansfield Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.9% | 25.6% | 36.5% |
| Market | 46.2% | 26.3% | 27.5% |
| Final | 44.2% | 26.1% | 29.7% |
| Edge | -8.3% | -0.7% | +9.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Reading and Mansfield Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Reading and Mansfield Town attack and defence ratings
Reading
Mansfield Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Reading vs Mansfield Town: result vs prediction
Reading 5 – 0 Mansfield Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Oxford United — team news & stats
- Leicester vs Plymouth
- Bradford v Cambridge United — match page
- Peterborough vs Stevenage — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Notts County
- Wycombe v Sheffield Wednesday — match page
- Bromley vs Leyton Orient — team news & stats
- Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons
Before and after this match
Reading vs Mansfield Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reading | 44.2% | 2.26 | -8.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reading | 44.2% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Mansfield Town | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% |
| No | 35.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reading win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 61.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Reading vs Mansfield Town stats
Reading and Mansfield Town recent form
| Reading |
WDLDLD |
| Mansfield Town |
WLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Reading and Mansfield Town going into this match
Mansfield Town record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 70% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Reading vs Mansfield Town head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Mansfield Town | Reading | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Reading | Mansfield Town | League One | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-21 | Mansfield Town | Reading | League One | 1-5 |
| 2024-12-29 | Reading | Mansfield Town | League One | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Reading vs Mansfield Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 26.3%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.45 |
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.56 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.58 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05 | 3.79 | 3.48 |
| SBO | 1.99 | 3.15 | 3.04 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Unibet | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .