League One · Full time ·Matchday 5

Reading vs Blackpool

3 – 1 Full time

12′George Earthy
16′Jordan Williams
49′Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
59′Finley MunroeIlmari Niskanen
59′Dion CharlesTom Bloxham
68′Albie MorganJordan Brown
70′George EarthyRandell Williams
70′Jack MarriottJacob Brown
76′Kyreece Joshua LisbieDaniel·Kyerewaa
80′Leighton Clarkson
85′P. LaneJamie Reid
85′Andy RinomhotaCharlie Savage
90′Jacob Brown

Madejski Stadium, ReadingReferee: D. Rock

Reading 47%
Draw 26%
Blackpool 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
33 Possession % 67
6 Corners 3
12 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 0
0 Saves 3
206 Accurate passes 485

Reading vs Blackpool overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Reading vs Blackpool

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReadingDrawBlackpool
Model45.8%27.1%27.2%
Market47.7%25.8%26.5%
Final47.2%26.1%26.7%
Edge-1.9%+1.3%+0.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Reading

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.19.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Reading ↓ / Blackpool → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Reading and Blackpool expected goals

Reading 1.60
Blackpool 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.79

Reading and Blackpool attack and defence ratings

Reading

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Blackpool

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Reading vs Blackpool: result vs prediction

Reading 3 – 1 Blackpool

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Reading vs Blackpool markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Reading 47.2% 2.12 -1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.8% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.5% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Reading47.2%
Draw26.1%
Blackpool26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.8%
Under 2.547.2%
Both teams to scoreYes56.7%
No43.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)52.8%
Handicap -1Reading win24.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss54.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
2-19.4%
1-08.7%

Reading vs Blackpool stats

Reading and Blackpool recent form

newest first
Reading WWDLDL
Blackpool LWLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Reading and Blackpool going into this match

league record before kick-off

Blackpool record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Reading vs Blackpool head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Reading wins 0Draws 7Blackpool wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02ReadingBlackpoolLeague One0-1
2025-11-29BlackpoolReadingLeague One0-3
2025-04-01BlackpoolReadingLeague One3-0
2024-12-14ReadingBlackpoolLeague One0-3
2024-04-27ReadingBlackpoolLeague One3-2
2023-09-23BlackpoolReadingLeague One4-1
2023-02-25ReadingBlackpoolChampionship3-1
2022-07-30BlackpoolReadingChampionship1-0
2022-02-26BlackpoolReadingChampionship4-1
2021-10-20ReadingBlackpoolChampionship2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Reading vs Blackpool odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.6%, draw 26.0%, away 26.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.97 3.55 3.60
1xBet 1.97 3.65 3.50
Bet365 1.95 3.40 3.75
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.60
Betano 1.98 3.45 3.60
Betfair 2.05 3.70 3.40
Dafabet 2.00 3.60 3.70
Marathonbet 1.95 3.65 3.50
Pinnacle 2.01 3.86 3.54
SBO 1.93 3.04 3.09
Superbet 1.97 3.50 3.60
Unibet 1.97 3.60 3.55
William Hill 2.00 3.40 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.96 ▼ -0.25
X 3.62 ▲ +0.30
2 3.52 ▲ +0.44

7 snapshots recorded, from .