League One · Full time ·Matchday 4

Barnsley vs Blackpool

2 – 1 Full time

37′George Honeyman
46′L. AlkerA. Richards
46′M. KirkL. Farrell
54′G. HoneymanL. Clarkson
59′T. BloxhamJ. Yates
60′Finley Munroe
61′C. McGeehan
65′J. Bowler
69′F. MunroeC. Hamilton
72′CJ Hamilton
72′J. BlandL. Connell
78′Arley Kay
81′T. NoslinZ. Larkeche
87′A. Richards
90′Patrick Kelly
90′Leo Farrell
90′Karoy Anderson

Oakwell Ground, Barnsley

Barnsley 41%
Draw 27%
Blackpool 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 4
61 Possession % 39
13 Corners 4
9 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 5
1 Saves 3
268 Accurate passes 142

Barnsley vs Blackpool overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Barnsley vs Blackpool

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBarnsleyDrawBlackpool
Model29.8%29.5%40.7%
Market44.1%26.5%29.4%
Final40.5%27.3%32.2%
Edge-14.2%+2.9%+11.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Barnsley ↓ / Blackpool → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Barnsley and Blackpool expected goals

Barnsley 1.13
Blackpool 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.48

Barnsley and Blackpool attack and defence ratings

Barnsley

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Blackpool

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Barnsley vs Blackpool: result vs prediction

Barnsley 2 – 1 Blackpool

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Barnsley vs Blackpool markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Barnsley 40.5% 2.47 -14.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.2% 1.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Barnsley40.5%
Draw27.3%
Blackpool32.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.8%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)59.5%
Handicap -1Barnsley win12.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss70.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-110.1%
0-09.7%

Barnsley vs Blackpool stats

Barnsley and Blackpool recent form

newest first
Barnsley WWDLDL
Blackpool WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Barnsley and Blackpool going into this match

league record before kick-off

Barnsley record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Blackpool record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Barnsley vs Blackpool head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Barnsley wins 0Draws 7Blackpool wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-17BarnsleyBlackpoolLeague One2-1
2025-09-20BlackpoolBarnsleyLeague One1-0
2025-03-08BarnsleyBlackpoolLeague One0-3
2024-10-19BlackpoolBarnsleyLeague One1-2
2024-04-20BlackpoolBarnsleyLeague One3-2
2023-12-05BlackpoolBarnsleyEFL Trophy2-1
2023-09-30BarnsleyBlackpoolLeague One0-1
2022-04-26BarnsleyBlackpoolChampionship0-2
2021-09-25BlackpoolBarnsleyChampionship1-0
2019-04-27BarnsleyBlackpoolLeague One2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Barnsley vs Blackpool odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 26.5%, away 29.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.18 3.55 3.05
1xBet 2.13 3.52 3.18
Bet365 2.15 3.50 3.00
BetVictor 2.10 3.60 3.20
Betano 2.15 3.40 3.25
Betfair 2.10 3.60 3.30
Dafabet 2.21 3.60 3.15
Marathonbet 2.05 3.55 3.30
Pinnacle 2.09 3.70 3.45
SBO 2.11 3.20 2.74
Superbet 2.12 3.50 3.20
Unibet 2.18 3.50 3.10
William Hill 2.10 3.40 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▼ -0.16
X 3.52 ▲ +0.10
2 3.18 ▲ +0.30

7 snapshots recorded, from .