League One · Full time ·Matchday 4

Leicester vs Plymouth

2 – 0 Full time

6′J. StolarczykA. McCarthy
38′Xavier Amaechi
43′Jayden Joseph
45′W. Alves
45′H. Howell
46′R. CurtisM. Sorinola
46′X. AmaechiO. Irow
52′H. HowellW. Burns
52′A. BristricL. Cullen
61′J. PleguezueloA. Pepple
70′B. IbrahimC. Watts
81′J. JosephO. Aluko
81′W. AlvesT. Watson
87′Harry Souttar
90′Sammy Braybrooke

King Power Stadium, LeicesterReferee: H. Wager

Leicester 44%
Draw 26%
Plymouth 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
66 Possession % 34
5 Corners 9
5 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 7
4 Saves 3
570 Accurate passes 229

Leicester vs Plymouth overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Leicester vs Plymouth

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLeicesterDrawPlymouth
Model30.7%29.1%40.1%
Market49.0%25.0%26.0%
Final44.4%26.0%29.5%
Edge-18.3%+4.2%+14.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Leicester ↓ / Plymouth → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Leicester and Plymouth expected goals

Leicester 1.17
Plymouth 1.37

Total expected goals: 2.54

Leicester and Plymouth attack and defence ratings

Leicester

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Plymouth

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Leicester vs Plymouth: result vs prediction

Leicester 2 – 0 Plymouth

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Leicester vs Plymouth markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Leicester 44.4% 2.25 -18.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.7% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.3% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Leicester44.4%
Draw26.0%
Plymouth29.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.6%
Under 2.553.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.7%
No47.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.5%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Leicester win13.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss69.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-19.6%
0-09.2%

Leicester vs Plymouth stats

Leicester and Plymouth recent form

newest first
Leicester DLLDWW
Plymouth WLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Leicester and Plymouth going into this match

league record before kick-off

Leicester record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Plymouth record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Leicester vs Plymouth head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Leicester wins 0Draws 1Plymouth wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-12PlymouthLeicesterChampionship1-0
2023-12-09LeicesterPlymouthChampionship4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Leicester vs Plymouth odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 25.0%, away 26.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.75 3.60
1xBet 1.89 3.80 3.63
Bet365 1.91 3.75 3.60
BetVictor 1.90 3.75 3.70
Betano 1.93 3.75 3.55
Betfair 1.91 3.80 3.70
Dafabet 1.95 3.75 3.70
Marathonbet 1.87 3.80 3.64
Pinnacle 1.93 4.01 3.65
SBO 1.92 3.29 3.28
Superbet 1.92 3.65 3.60
Unibet 1.93 3.65 3.60
William Hill 1.91 3.70 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▲ +0.01
X 3.75 —
2 3.60 ▼ -0.01

5 snapshots recorded, from .