Peterborough
vs
Stevenage
0 – 0 Full time
| 24′ | O. EdwardsB. Shofowoke | ||
| 62′ | Luther James-Wildin | ||
| 63′ | J. MagennisM. Mellon | ||
| 64′ | O. SandersonJ. Roberts | ||
| 70′ | L. KellyC. Conn-Clarke | ||
| 70′ | B. KhelaB. Woods | ||
| 73′ | T. TaylorL. Thompson | ||
| 73′ | D. KempB. Broggio | ||
| 76′ | Josh Feeney | ||
| 84′ | H. LeonardD. Ormerod | ||
| 84′ | P. PattersonJ. Houghton |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Saves | 0 |
| 411 | Accurate passes | 237 |
Peterborough vs Stevenage overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Peterborough vs Stevenage
| Probability | Peterborough | Draw | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| Market | 38.2% | 28.4% | 33.4% |
| Final | 41.0% | 27.8% | 31.2% |
| Edge | +11.1% | -2.3% | -8.7% |
Why Peterborough
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Peterborough below the model: +11.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Peterborough and Stevenage expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Peterborough and Stevenage attack and defence ratings
Peterborough
Stevenage
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Peterborough vs Stevenage: result vs prediction
Peterborough 0 – 0 Stevenage
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Peterborough vs Stevenage markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 41.0% | 2.44 | +11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 41.0% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Stevenage | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Peterborough win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Peterborough vs Stevenage stats
Peterborough and Stevenage recent form
| Peterborough |
LWWLWL |
| Stevenage |
DLLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Peterborough and Stevenage going into this match
Peterborough record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Stevenage record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Peterborough vs Stevenage head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Stevenage | Peterborough | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Peterborough | Stevenage | League One | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Stevenage | Peterborough | League One | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-08 | Peterborough | Stevenage | EFL Trophy | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Peterborough | Stevenage | League One | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-13 | Peterborough | Stevenage | League One | 3-1 |
| 2023-11-28 | Stevenage | Peterborough | League One | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-30 | Peterborough | Stevenage | EFL Trophy | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-23 | Stevenage | Peterborough | League Cup | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-13 | Stevenage | Peterborough | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Peterborough vs Stevenage odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.2%, draw 28.4%, away 33.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.52 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 3.34 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.35 | 2.95 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.56 | 3.06 |
| SBO | 2.35 | 3.06 | 2.64 |
| Superbet | 2.47 | 3.20 | 2.85 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .