League One · Full time ·Matchday 5

Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday

1 – 2 Full time

14′T. O'ConnorD. Okagbue
38′J. Feeney
43′Ethan Williams
46′L. CooperE. Weaver
47′B. Woods
57′Jaden Heskey
57′J. HeskeyB. Mitchell
58′D. Keillor-DunnA. Al Hamadi
58′J. LoweM. Burstow
62′Callum Slattery
63′E. WilliamsD. Ormerod
75′L. KellyB. Khela
75′H. JonesH. Ashfield
78′Brandon Khela
79′Y. Valery
87′Y. ValeryL. Palmer
90′Kieran Morrison

ABAX Stadium, PeterboroughReferee: A. Humphries

Peterborough 31%
Draw 26%
Sheffield Wednesday 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
56 Possession % 44
4 Corners 9
9 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 3
3 Saves 2
378 Accurate passes 285

Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPeterboroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
Model33.0%26.9%40.1%
Market30.2%25.4%44.4%
Final30.9%25.8%43.3%
Edge+2.8%+1.5%-4.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Sheffield Wednesday

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Peterborough ↓ / Sheffield Wedn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 6% 1 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Peterborough and Sheffield Wednesday expected goals

Peterborough 1.38
Sheffield Wednesday 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.92

Peterborough and Sheffield Wednesday attack and defence ratings

Peterborough

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Sheffield Wednesday

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday: result vs prediction

Peterborough 1 – 2 Sheffield Wednesday

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheffield Wednesday 43.3% 2.31 -4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.8% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.9% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Peterborough30.9%
Draw25.8%
Sheffield Wednesday43.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.8%
Under 2.544.2%
Both teams to scoreYes59.9%
No40.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.7%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)69.1%
Handicap -1Sheffield Wednesday win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss59.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday stats

Peterborough and Sheffield Wednesday recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Peterborough and Sheffield Wednesday going into this match

league record before kick-off

Peterborough record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Sheffield Wednesday record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.

Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Peterborough wins 0Draws 3Sheffield Wednesday wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-05-18Sheffield WednesdayPeterboroughLeague One5-1
2023-05-12PeterboroughSheffield WednesdayLeague One4-0
2023-03-04Sheffield WednesdayPeterboroughLeague One1-0
2022-08-16PeterboroughSheffield WednesdayLeague One2-0
2013-04-27PeterboroughSheffield WednesdayChampionship1-0
2012-11-03Sheffield WednesdayPeterboroughChampionship2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.4%, draw 25.6%, away 43.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.75 2.08
1xBet 3.10 3.68 2.11
Bet365 3.10 3.50 2.15
BetVictor 3.10 3.80 2.10
Betano 3.00 3.60 2.18
Betfair 3.00 3.90 2.15
Dafabet 3.10 3.75 2.18
Marathonbet 3.10 3.68 2.09
Pinnacle 3.14 3.89 2.16
SBO 2.65 3.26 2.06
Superbet 3.05 3.65 2.15
Unibet 3.05 3.65 2.16
William Hill 3.00 3.60 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.10 —
X 3.68 ▼ -0.02
2 2.10 —

12 snapshots recorded, from .