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League One · Full time ·Matchday 5

Bradford vs Mansfield Town

1 – 0 Full time

18′Antoni Sarcevic
45′Nathan Daniel Moriah-WelshRhys Oates
45′Regan·HendryDavid McGoldrick
60′Louis Reed
63′Antoni Sarcevic
64′Kyle KnoyleElliott Hewitt
65′Antoni SarcevicHenry Cartwright
66′Adam PhillipsKayden Jackson
66′Louis ReedLuke Bolton
71′Bobby PointonNick Powell
80′Michael SmithTyler Roberts
87′Elliott Hewitt
90′George Christopher John Pratt
90′Ibou TourayMacauley Gillesphey

Valley Parade, BradfordReferee: Z. Kennard-Kettle

Bradford 50%
Draw 26%
Mansfield Town 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
46 Possession % 54
4 Corners 3
19 Fouls 19
2 Saves 6
222 Accurate passes 277

Bradford vs Mansfield Town overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bradford vs Mansfield Town

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBradfordDrawMansfield Town
Model45.9%27.7%26.4%
Market51.9%26.0%22.1%
Final50.4%26.4%23.2%
Edge-6.0%+1.7%+4.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Bradford

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.13.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bradford ↓ / Mansfield Town → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Bradford and Mansfield Town expected goals

Bradford 1.54
Mansfield Town 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.67

Bradford and Mansfield Town attack and defence ratings

Bradford

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Mansfield Town

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bradford vs Mansfield Town: result vs prediction

Bradford 1 – 0 Mansfield Town

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Bradford vs Mansfield Town markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bradford 50.4% 1.98 -6.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.4% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bradford50.4%
Draw26.4%
Mansfield Town23.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.1%
Under 2.549.9%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.8%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)49.6%
Handicap -1Bradford win23.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss54.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-09.5%
2-19.3%

Bradford vs Mansfield Town stats

Bradford and Mansfield Town recent form

newest first
Bradford LLDWWW
Mansfield Town LWLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bradford and Mansfield Town going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bradford record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Mansfield Town record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 70% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bradford vs Mansfield Town head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Bradford wins 3Draws 3Mansfield Town wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-17BradfordMansfield TownLeague One1-1
2026-01-01Mansfield TownBradfordLeague One3-0
2024-09-17Mansfield TownBradfordEFL Trophy0-3
2024-03-16BradfordMansfield TownLeague Two1-5
2023-09-02Mansfield TownBradfordLeague Two0-0
2023-02-04BradfordMansfield TownLeague Two1-1
2022-11-08Mansfield TownBradfordLeague Two1-2
2022-02-26BradfordMansfield TownLeague Two0-2
2021-08-21Mansfield TownBradfordLeague Two2-3
2021-03-02BradfordMansfield TownLeague Two1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bradford vs Mansfield Town odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 26.3%, away 22.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.86 3.55 4.00
1xBet 1.81 3.60 4.22
Bet365 1.80 3.60 4.20
BetVictor 1.80 3.60 4.33
Betano 1.87 3.55 3.95
Betfair 1.87 3.70 4.00
Dafabet 1.90 3.55 4.10
Marathonbet 1.79 3.60 4.25
Pinnacle 1.81 3.73 4.49
SBO 1.84 3.04 3.36
Superbet 1.88 3.50 4.00
Unibet 1.85 3.55 4.10
William Hill 1.83 3.40 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▼ -0.10
X 3.60 ▲ +0.20
2 4.23 ▲ +0.33

12 snapshots recorded, from .