Doncaster
vs
Plymouth
2 – 3 Full time
| 28′ | Will Evans | ||
| 51′ | Alfie May | ||
| 62′ | Tommi Dylan O'ReillyBayley McCann | ||
| 63′ | Oliver IrowCaleb Watts | ||
| 70′ | Owen BaileyGeorge Broadbent | ||
| 71′ | Neill Byrne | ||
| 72′ | Ronan CurtisOwen Oseni | ||
| 72′ | Tyreeq BakinsonBradley Ibrahim | ||
| 74′ | Aribim Pepple | ||
| 79′ | Isaac Hutchinson | ||
| 79′ | Robbie GottsHarry Clifton | ||
| 79′ | jay mcgrathLeon Ayinde | ||
| 82′ | Matthew SorinolaAlex·Hartridge | ||
| 82′ | Will EvansMathias Ross Jensen | ||
| 83′ | Caleb Watts | ||
| 86′ | Jack Senior | ||
| 90′ | Sean Grehan |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 1 |
| 281 | Accurate passes | 227 |
Doncaster vs Plymouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Doncaster vs Plymouth
| Probability | Doncaster | Draw | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.4% | 27.4% | 35.1% |
| Market | 37.5% | 27.1% | 35.4% |
| Final | 37.5% | 27.2% | 35.3% |
| Edge | -0.1% | +0.3% | -0.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Doncaster and Plymouth expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Doncaster and Plymouth attack and defence ratings
Doncaster
Plymouth
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Doncaster vs Plymouth: result vs prediction
Doncaster 2 – 3 Plymouth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Wigan vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Peterborough vs Sheffield Wednesday
- Huddersfield v Notts County — match page
- Leicester vs Oxford United — team news & stats
- Reading vs Blackpool
- Barnsley v Stevenage — match page
- Burton Albion vs Cambridge United — team news & stats
- Bradford vs Mansfield Town
Before and after this match
Doncaster vs Plymouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doncaster | 37.5% | 2.67 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doncaster | 37.5% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Plymouth | 35.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Doncaster win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Doncaster vs Plymouth stats
Doncaster and Plymouth recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Doncaster and Plymouth going into this match
Doncaster record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Plymouth record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Doncaster vs Plymouth head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Plymouth | Doncaster | League One | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Doncaster | Plymouth | League One | 1-5 |
| 2022-01-29 | Doncaster | Plymouth | League One | 1-3 |
| 2021-09-25 | Plymouth | Doncaster | League One | 2-1 |
| 2021-03-06 | Doncaster | Plymouth | League One | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-27 | Plymouth | Doncaster | League One | 2-1 |
| 2019-04-13 | Doncaster | Plymouth | League One | 2-0 |
| 2018-09-29 | Plymouth | Doncaster | League One | 2-3 |
| 2018-01-13 | Doncaster | Plymouth | League One | 1-1 |
| 2017-09-23 | Plymouth | Doncaster | League One | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Doncaster vs Plymouth odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 27.1%, away 35.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.68 |
| 1xBet | 2.48 | 3.44 | 2.65 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.45 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.48 | 3.44 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56 | 3.63 | 2.69 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.04 | 2.54 |
| Superbet | 2.42 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Unibet | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .