League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Doncaster
vs
Notts County
1 – 1 Full time
| 36′ | I. Hutchinson | ||
| 44′ | Jack Senior | ||
| 45′ | Darius Lipsiuc | ||
| 46′ | D. LipsiucQ. Kouhyar | ||
| 63′ | C. GrantC. Roberts | ||
| 63′ | L. SmythD. Kanu | ||
| 64′ | O. Cooper | ||
| 69′ | T. O'ReillyB. McCann | ||
| 69′ | B. HanlanL. Ayinde | ||
| 70′ | H. MustaphaJ. Evans | ||
| 76′ | Oliver Cooper | ||
| 77′ | N. ByrneJ. Thomas | ||
| 77′ | I. HutchinsonH. Clifton | ||
| 88′ | Harry Clifton | ||
| 89′ | Jacob Bedeau | ||
| 90′ | S. GrehanJ. Husband |
Doncaster
39%
Draw
28%
Notts County
33%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 326 | Accurate passes | 259 |
Doncaster vs Notts County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Doncaster vs Notts County
| Probability | Doncaster | Draw | Notts County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 30.6% | 37.2% |
| Market | 40.9% | 27.8% | 31.3% |
| Final | 38.7% | 28.5% | 32.8% |
| Edge | -8.6% | +2.8% | +5.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
Doncaster and Notts County expected goals
Doncaster
1.13
Notts County
1.23
Total expected goals: 2.35
Doncaster and Notts County attack and defence ratings
Doncaster
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Notts County
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Doncaster vs Notts County: result vs prediction
Doncaster 1 – 1 Notts County
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Oxford United — team news & stats
- Leicester vs Plymouth
- Bradford v Cambridge United — match page
- Peterborough vs Stevenage — team news & stats
- Wycombe v Sheffield Wednesday — match page
- Bromley vs Leyton Orient — team news & stats
- Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons
- Barnsley v Blackpool — match page
Before and after this match
Doncaster vs Notts County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doncaster | 38.7% | 2.58 | -8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doncaster | 38.7% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Notts County | 32.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Doncaster win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 67.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.4% |
Doncaster vs Notts County stats
Doncaster and Notts County recent form
| Doncaster |
DLDLDW |
| Notts County |
WDDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Doncaster and Notts County going into this match
Doncaster record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Notts County record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Doncaster vs Notts County head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Doncaster wins
2Draws
5Notts County wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Notts County | Doncaster | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Doncaster | Notts County | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-26 | Notts County | Doncaster | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2023-08-19 | Doncaster | Notts County | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2018-11-14 | Notts County | Doncaster | EFL Trophy | 4-2 |
| 2017-03-14 | Doncaster | Notts County | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2016-12-26 | Notts County | Doncaster | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2015-04-25 | Notts County | Doncaster | League One | 2-1 |
| 2015-01-20 | Doncaster | Notts County | League One | 0-0 |
| 2014-12-09 | Doncaster | Notts County | EFL Trophy | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Doncaster vs Notts County odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 27.8%, away 31.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.38 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.38 | 2.93 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 3.48 | 3.01 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.08 | 2.85 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.30 ▲ +0.33
X
3.38 ▼ -0.12
2
3.00 ▼ -0.58
5 snapshots recorded, from .