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League One · Full time ·Matchday 4

Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons

3 – 1 Full time

8′Finley Burns
18′Jack Sanders
22′Luke HarrisReggie Walsh
36′Jensen Weir
45′Jack SandersMarvin Ekpiteta
45′Ben WilesAlex Gilbey
48′Max Power
62′Alex Gilbey
64′Ryan BarnettSamuel Silvera
64′Daniel BarlaserDan Crowley
64′Sam NombeAaron Collins
66′Finley BurnsJon Mellish
66′Charlie GrayConnor Barrett
72′Dara James Morgan Costelloe
74′Dara James Morgan CostelloeBradley Burrowes
74′Jensen Weir
81′Aaron Collins

DW Stadium, WiganReferee: P. Howard

Wigan 38%
Draw 29%
Milton Keynes Dons 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 4
46 Possession % 54
5 Corners 5
11 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
266 Accurate passes 324

Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWiganDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Model32.3%32.6%35.2%
Market39.5%27.5%33.0%
Final37.7%28.8%33.5%
Edge-7.3%+5.0%+2.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wigan ↓ / Milton Keynes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 12% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

Wigan and Milton Keynes Dons expected goals

Wigan 1.03
Milton Keynes Dons 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.11

Wigan and Milton Keynes Dons attack and defence ratings

Wigan

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Milton Keynes Dons

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons: result vs prediction

Wigan 3 – 1 Milton Keynes Dons

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wigan 37.7% 2.65 -7.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score No 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.2% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.7% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wigan37.7%
Draw28.8%
Milton Keynes Dons33.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.3%
Under 2.564.7%
Both teams to scoreYes43.8%
No56.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.5%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)62.3%
Handicap -1Wigan win12.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss67.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.5%
0-111.8%

Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons stats

Wigan and Milton Keynes Dons recent form

newest first
Wigan LLLDLL
Milton Keynes Dons DDDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wigan and Milton Keynes Dons going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wigan record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Milton Keynes Dons record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Wigan wins 2Draws 2Milton Keynes Dons wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-03-12Milton Keynes DonsWiganLeague One1-1
2021-10-19WiganMilton Keynes DonsLeague One1-2
2021-03-06WiganMilton Keynes DonsLeague One3-0
2020-10-27Milton Keynes DonsWiganLeague One2-0
2018-04-07WiganMilton Keynes DonsLeague One5-1
2017-08-05Milton Keynes DonsWiganLeague One0-1
2014-01-14Milton Keynes DonsWiganFA Cup1-3
2014-01-04WiganMilton Keynes DonsFA Cup3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wigan vs Milton Keynes Dons odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 27.5%, away 33.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.38 3.50 2.75
1xBet 2.37 3.40 2.85
Bet365 2.35 3.40 2.75
BetVictor 2.38 3.50 2.80
Betano 2.37 3.40 2.82
Betfair 2.45 3.40 2.80
Dafabet 2.39 3.40 2.95
Marathonbet 2.35 3.40 2.84
Pinnacle 2.43 3.52 2.91
SBO 2.25 3.07 2.63
Superbet 2.37 3.40 2.85
Unibet 2.35 3.35 2.90
William Hill 2.38 3.20 2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.37 ▼ -0.40
X 3.40 ▲ +0.14
2 2.84 ▲ +0.37

7 snapshots recorded, from .