Garuda Lions
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League One · Full time ·Matchday 3

Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester

0 – 0 Full time

Stadium MK, Milton KeynesReferee: T. Parsons

Milton Keynes Dons 38%
Draw 27%
Leicester 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMilton Keynes DonsDrawLeicester
Model54.6%25.9%19.5%
Market32.5%27.2%40.3%
Final38.0%26.9%35.1%
Edge+22.1%-1.3%-20.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Milton Keynes Dons

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.95.
  • The market prices Milton Keynes Dons below the model: +22.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Milton Keynes ↓ / Leicester → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Milton Keynes Dons and Leicester expected goals

Milton Keynes Dons 1.73
Leicester 0.95

Total expected goals: 2.69

Milton Keynes Dons and Leicester attack and defence ratings

Milton Keynes Dons

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Leicester

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester: result vs prediction

Milton Keynes Dons 0 – 0 Leicester

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Milton Keynes Dons 38.0% 2.63 +22.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.7% 1.93 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.4% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Milton Keynes Dons38.0%
Draw26.9%
Leicester35.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.3%
Under 2.549.7%
Both teams to scoreYes51.7%
No48.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.9%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)62.0%
Handicap -1Milton Keynes Dons win31.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss45.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
1-010.7%
2-010.2%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester stats

Milton Keynes Dons and Leicester recent form

newest first
Milton Keynes Dons DDLDWW
Leicester LLDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Milton Keynes Dons and Leicester going into this match

league record before kick-off

Milton Keynes Dons record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Leicester record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Milton Keynes Dons wins 0Draws 1Leicester wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-12-20Milton Keynes DonsLeicesterLeague Cup0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 27.2%, away 40.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.90 3.45 2.30
1xBet 2.77 3.44 2.38
Bet365 2.90 3.40 2.30
BetVictor 2.88 3.50 2.30
Betano 2.90 3.40 2.32
Betfair 2.75 3.60 2.40
Dafabet 2.95 3.50 2.34
Marathonbet 2.77 3.44 2.38
Pinnacle 2.78 3.55 2.42
SBO 2.69 3.08 2.10
Superbet 2.92 3.40 2.30
Unibet 2.90 3.40 2.33
William Hill 2.80 3.30 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▲ +0.07
X 3.44 —
2 2.32 ▲ +0.02

11 snapshots recorded, from .