League One · Full time ·Matchday 3

Plymouth vs Bradford

2 – 0 Full time

Home Park, PlymouthReferee: C. Brook

Plymouth 41%
Draw 28%
Bradford 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Plymouth vs Bradford overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Plymouth vs Bradford

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlymouthDrawBradford
Model35.9%31.1%33.0%
Market42.5%27.1%30.4%
Final40.9%28.1%31.0%
Edge-6.6%+3.9%+2.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Plymouth ↓ / Bradford → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

Plymouth and Bradford expected goals

Plymouth 1.18
Bradford 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.29

Plymouth and Bradford attack and defence ratings

Plymouth

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Bradford

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Plymouth vs Bradford: result vs prediction

Plymouth 2 – 0 Bradford

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Plymouth vs Bradford markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Plymouth 40.9% 2.45 -6.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 52.2% 1.92 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.0% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Plymouth40.9%
Draw28.1%
Bradford31.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.2%
Under 2.559.8%
Both teams to scoreYes47.8%
No52.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.0%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)59.1%
Handicap -1Plymouth win15.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss64.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.4%
1-010.5%

Plymouth vs Bradford stats

Plymouth and Bradford recent form

newest first
Plymouth LDLWWW
Bradford DWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Plymouth and Bradford going into this match

league record before kick-off

Plymouth record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Bradford record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Plymouth vs Bradford head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Plymouth wins 4Draws 3Bradford wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-21BradfordPlymouthLeague One1-1
2025-12-06PlymouthBradfordLeague One0-1
2020-02-29BradfordPlymouthLeague Two2-1
2019-11-23PlymouthBradfordLeague Two2-1
2019-02-16BradfordPlymouthLeague One0-0
2018-12-08PlymouthBradfordLeague One3-3
2018-02-24PlymouthBradfordLeague One1-0
2017-12-02BradfordPlymouthFA Cup3-1
2017-11-11BradfordPlymouthLeague One0-1
2013-03-12PlymouthBradfordLeague Two0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Plymouth vs Bradford odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 27.1%, away 30.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.18 3.45 3.10
1xBet 2.18 3.52 3.08
Bet365 2.20 3.30 3.20
BetVictor 2.15 3.40 3.00
Betano 2.25 3.35 3.10
Betfair 2.20 3.70 3.00
Dafabet 2.25 3.45 3.15
Marathonbet 2.16 3.52 3.08
Pinnacle 2.20 3.57 3.12
SBO 2.09 3.04 2.74
Superbet 2.22 3.35 3.10
Unibet 2.18 3.55 3.05
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.07
X 3.45 —
2 3.08 ▲ +0.20

11 snapshots recorded, from .