League Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Bradford vs Burnley

0 – 0 Full time

Valley Parade, BradfordReferee: Martin Coy, England

Bradford 35%
Draw 28%
Burnley 37%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Bradford vs Burnley overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bradford vs Burnley

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBradfordDrawBurnley
Model52.7%28.3%19.0%
Market28.7%28.3%43.0%
Final34.7%28.3%37.0%
Edge+24.0%+0.0%-24.0%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bradford ↓ / Burnley → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 13% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Bradford and Burnley expected goals

Bradford 1.53
Burnley 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.35

Bradford and Burnley attack and defence ratings

Bradford

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Burnley

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bradford vs Burnley: result vs prediction

Bradford 0 – 0 Burnley

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

League Cup

Before and after this match

Bradford vs Burnley markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Burnley 37.0% 2.70 -24.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.3% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 81.0% 1.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bradford34.7%
Draw28.3%
Burnley37.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.7%
Under 2.558.3%
Both teams to scoreYes45.1%
No54.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.0%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)65.3%
Handicap -1Burnley win6.3%
Push (exactly one goal)12.7%
Loss81.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.4%
1-113.2%
2-011.1%

Bradford vs Burnley stats

Bradford and Burnley recent form

newest first
Bradford WWWLLW
Burnley LDDDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bradford vs Burnley head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bradford vs Burnley odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 28.3%, away 43.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.20 3.35 2.20
1xBet 3.34 3.45 2.24
Bet365 3.40 3.25 2.20
BetVictor 3.25 3.40 2.20
Betano 3.20 3.25 2.22
Betfair 3.30 3.30 2.10
Dafabet 3.35 3.40 2.23
Marathonbet 3.35 3.45 2.22
Pinnacle 3.32 3.45 2.23
SBO 3.12 3.20 2.09
Superbet 3.25 3.25 2.20
Unibet 3.50 3.50 2.06
William Hill 3.10 3.20 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▲ +0.11
X 3.35 ▼ -0.05
2 2.20 ▲ +0.04

12 snapshots recorded, from .