Blackburn
vs
Sheffield Utd
1 – 2 Full time
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd
| Probability | Blackburn | Draw | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.5% | 31.0% | 39.5% |
| Market | 35.0% | 28.0% | 37.0% |
| Final | 33.6% | 28.8% | 37.6% |
| Edge | -5.5% | +3.0% | +2.5% |
Why Sheffield Utd
- The market prices Sheffield Utd below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blackburn and Sheffield Utd expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Blackburn and Sheffield Utd attack and defence ratings
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd: result vs prediction
Blackburn 1 – 2 Sheffield Utd
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Utd | 37.6% | 2.66 | +2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackburn | 33.6% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Sheffield Utd | 37.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Utd win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 60.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.7% | |
| 0-1 | 11.4% |
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd stats
Blackburn and Sheffield Utd recent form
| Blackburn |
WDWLWD |
| Sheffield Utd |
DDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Sheffield Utd | Blackburn | England Championship | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-21 | Blackburn | Sheffield Utd | England Championship | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-03 | Sheffield Utd | Blackburn | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Blackburn | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 0-2 |
| 2023-03-19 | Sheffield Utd | Blackburn | FA Cup | 3-2 |
| 2023-03-04 | Blackburn | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-20 | Sheffield Utd | Blackburn | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2022-02-23 | Sheffield Utd | Blackburn | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-06 | Blackburn | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2019-08-27 | Sheffield Utd | Blackburn | League Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.0%, draw 28.0%, away 37.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.68 | 3.35 | 2.52 |
| 1xBet | 2.77 | 3.38 | 2.62 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.25 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.77 | 3.38 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77 | 3.37 | 2.63 |
| SBO | 2.53 | 3.13 | 2.53 |
| Superbet | 2.72 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| Unibet | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .