Blackburn
vs
Middlesbrough
2 – 1 Full time
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough
| Probability | Blackburn | Draw | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.4% | 32.0% | 35.6% |
| Market | 27.1% | 27.4% | 45.5% |
| Final | 28.5% | 28.5% | 43.0% |
| Edge | +5.3% | +4.6% | -9.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blackburn and Middlesbrough expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Blackburn and Middlesbrough attack and defence ratings
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough: result vs prediction
Blackburn 2 – 1 Middlesbrough
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Middlesbrough | 43.0% | 2.32 | -9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackburn | 28.5% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Middlesbrough | 43.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Middlesbrough win | 15.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 64.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 12.7% | |
| 0-1 | 11.4% |
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough stats
Blackburn and Middlesbrough recent form
| Blackburn |
DWLWDL |
| Middlesbrough |
WWLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blackburn and Middlesbrough going into this match
Blackburn record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Middlesbrough record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Blackburn | Middlesbrough | England Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Middlesbrough | Blackburn | England Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Middlesbrough | Blackburn | England FA Cup | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.1%, draw 27.4%, away 45.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 3.35 | 2.12 |
| 1xBet | 3.44 | 3.44 | 2.06 |
| 888Sport | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.55 | 3.50 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 3.44 | 3.44 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.62 | 3.53 | 2.11 |
| SBO | 3.17 | 3.04 | 2.06 |
| Superbet | 3.50 | 3.45 | 2.10 |
| Unibet | 3.40 | 3.35 | 2.08 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.05 |