England Championship
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
QPR
vs
Bolton
0 – 0 Full time
QPR
44%
Draw
26%
Bolton
30%
QPR vs Bolton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: QPR vs Bolton
| Probability | QPR | Draw | Bolton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 24.5% | 49.1% |
| Market | 49.6% | 26.2% | 24.2% |
| Final | 43.8% | 25.8% | 30.4% |
| Edge | -23.3% | -1.7% | +25.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
QPR and Bolton expected goals
QPR
1.34
Bolton
1.88
Total expected goals: 3.21
QPR and Bolton attack and defence ratings
QPR
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Bolton
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
QPR vs Bolton: result vs prediction
QPR 0 – 0 Bolton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
QPR vs Bolton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | QPR | 43.8% | 2.28 | -23.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | QPR | 43.8% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Bolton | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% |
| No | 36.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | QPR win | 11.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.6% | |
| Loss | 73.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.1% |
QPR vs Bolton stats
QPR and Bolton recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
QPR and Bolton going into this match
QPR record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Bolton record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
QPR vs Bolton head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
QPR vs Bolton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 26.2%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.68 | 3.92 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.68 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 3.83 | 4.08 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 3.13 | 3.43 |
| Superbet | 1.92 | 3.65 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.90 | 3.55 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 |