England Championship
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Preston
vs
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 – 3 Full time
Preston
24%
Draw
26%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
51%
Preston vs Wolverhampton Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Preston vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Probability | Preston | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.5% | 19.5% | 62.0% |
| Market | 25.3% | 27.6% | 47.2% |
| Final | 23.6% | 25.6% | 50.9% |
| Edge | -6.8% | -8.0% | +14.8% |
Why Wolverhampton Wanderers
- The market prices Wolverhampton Wanderers below the model: +14.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
68%
No goals
4%
Preston and Wolverhampton Wanderers expected goals
Preston
1.64
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.86
Total expected goals: 3.51
Preston and Wolverhampton Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Preston
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
1.24 +24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Preston vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: result vs prediction
Preston 1 – 3 Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Preston vs Wolverhampton Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 50.9% | 1.97 | +14.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preston | 23.6% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 50.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% |
| No | 31.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 23.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.0% |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | |
| 1-3 | 7.5% |
Preston vs Wolverhampton Wanderers stats
Preston and Wolverhampton Wanderers recent form
| Preston |
LDLWLL |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers |
DWDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Preston and Wolverhampton Wanderers going into this match
Preston record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Preston vs Wolverhampton Wanderers head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Preston vs Wolverhampton Wanderers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.3%, draw 27.6%, away 47.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.10 | 3.55 | 1.84 |
| 1xBet | 3.68 | 3.42 | 1.99 |
| 888Sport | 3.90 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| Bet365 | 3.80 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.90 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.75 | 3.50 | 2.04 |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 3.42 | 1.97 |
| Pinnacle | 3.72 | 3.55 | 2.07 |
| SBO | 3.63 | 3.28 | 1.82 |
| Superbet | 3.70 | 3.45 | 2.02 |
| Unibet | 3.95 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.05 |