League Cup · Full time ·Round of 64

Preston vs Everton

0 – 4 Full time

Deepdale, PrestonReferee: Tony Harrington, England

Preston 18%
Draw 22%
Everton 60%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Preston vs Everton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Preston vs Everton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPrestonDrawEverton
Model25.1%23.5%51.4%
Market15.7%21.6%62.7%
Final18.0%22.1%59.9%
Edge+9.4%+1.9%-11.3%

Confidence: Medium

Why Everton

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.38.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Preston ↓ / Everton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Preston and Everton expected goals

Preston 1.38
Everton 1.97

Total expected goals: 3.35

Preston and Everton attack and defence ratings

Preston

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Everton

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Preston vs Everton: result vs prediction

Preston 0 – 4 Everton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

League Cup

Before and after this match

Preston vs Everton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Everton 59.9% 1.67 -11.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.3% 1.53 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.0% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.7% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Preston18.0%
Draw22.1%
Everton59.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.3%
Under 2.534.7%
Both teams to scoreYes65.3%
No34.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)40.1%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)82.0%
Handicap -1Everton win29.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss49.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
1-29.4%
0-26.9%

Preston vs Everton stats

Preston and Everton recent form

newest first
Preston LLDLWL
Everton WLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Preston vs Everton head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Preston wins 0Draws 2Everton wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-08-03PrestonEvertonFriendlies Clubs0-3
2020-09-05EvertonPrestonFriendlies Clubs2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Preston vs Everton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.7%, draw 21.6%, away 62.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.90 4.30 1.50
1xBet 6.05 4.45 1.55
Bet365 5.75 4.33 1.50
BetVictor 6.00 4.40 1.50
Betano 6.30 4.55 1.55
Betfair 6.00 4.33 1.47
Dafabet 6.00 4.50 1.54
Marathonbet 6.25 4.45 1.53
Pinnacle 6.12 4.42 1.53
SBO 5.51 4.05 1.48
Superbet 5.55 4.25 1.52
Unibet 6.00 4.35 1.49
William Hill 5.50 4.00 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.00 ▲ +0.25
X 4.35 ▲ +0.10
2 1.50 ▼ -0.03

5 snapshots recorded, from .