Charlton
vs
Preston
1 – 0 Full time
Charlton vs Preston overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charlton vs Preston
| Probability | Charlton | Draw | Preston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.2% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
| Market | 44.8% | 28.8% | 26.3% |
| Final | 48.4% | 26.8% | 24.7% |
| Edge | +14.3% | -8.0% | -6.3% |
Why Charlton
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Charlton below the model: +14.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Charlton and Preston expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Charlton and Preston attack and defence ratings
Charlton
Preston
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Charlton vs Preston: result vs prediction
Charlton 1 – 0 Preston
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Charlton vs Preston markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlton | 48.4% | 2.07 | +14.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlton | 48.4% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Preston | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% |
| No | 32.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charlton win | 38.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 40.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.7% | |
| 3-1 | 7.2% |
Charlton vs Preston stats
Charlton and Preston recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charlton and Preston going into this match
Charlton record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Preston record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Charlton vs Preston head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Charlton | Preston | England Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Preston | Charlton | England Championship | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-14 | Preston | Charlton | England FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2020-01-18 | Preston | Charlton | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2019-11-03 | Charlton | Preston | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2016-02-23 | Preston | Charlton | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2015-10-20 | Charlton | Preston | Championship | 0-3 |
| 2012-04-28 | Preston | Charlton | League One | 2-2 |
| 2011-11-05 | Charlton | Preston | League One | 5-2 |
| 2011-09-13 | Charlton | Preston | League Cup | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Charlton vs Preston odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.8%, draw 28.8%, away 26.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.08 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.24 | 3.56 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.24 | 3.56 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.36 | 3.66 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 2.91 | 3.06 |
| Superbet | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 2.14 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .