England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 4

West Brom vs Charlton

1 – 1 Full time

46′K. TundeR. Nzingoula
59′C. Styles
60′M. AlliJ. Rankin-Costello
60′A. MwambaI. Mesik
60′K. GrantT. Ouma
69′T. Campbell
77′T. Bindon
77′J. MorganA. Heggebo
80′M. LeaburnM. Mbick
89′F. MyhreB. Stewart
89′C. CoventryS. Carey
90′I. Price

The Hawthorns, West BromwichReferee: F. Hallam

West Brom 56%
Draw 25%
Charlton 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
71 Possession % 29
8 Corners 3
4 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 2
0 Saves 2
640 Accurate passes 212

West Brom vs Charlton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: West Brom vs Charlton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWest BromDrawCharlton
Model56.1%22.9%21.1%
Market55.7%25.1%19.2%
Final55.8%24.5%19.7%
Edge+0.4%-2.2%+1.9%

Confidence: Low

Why West Brom

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.22.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

West Brom ↓ / Charlton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

West Brom and Charlton expected goals

West Brom 2.08
Charlton 1.22

Total expected goals: 3.30

West Brom and Charlton attack and defence ratings

West Brom

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Charlton

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

West Brom vs Charlton: result vs prediction

West Brom 1 – 1 Charlton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

West Brom vs Charlton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 West Brom 55.8% 1.79 +0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.7% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.3% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.9% 2.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2West Brom55.8%
Draw24.5%
Charlton19.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%
Both teams to scoreYes62.7%
No37.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.3%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)44.2%
Handicap -1West Brom win34.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss43.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-19.7%
2-08.0%

West Brom vs Charlton stats

West Brom and Charlton recent form

newest first
West Brom LLWWWL
Charlton WLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

West Brom and Charlton going into this match

league record before kick-off

West Brom record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Charlton record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

West Brom vs Charlton head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1West Brom wins 3Draws 1Charlton wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-24West BromCharltonEngland Championship1-1
2025-11-04CharltonWest BromEngland Championship1-0
2020-01-11CharltonWest BromChampionship2-2
2020-01-05CharltonWest BromFA Cup0-1
2019-10-26West BromCharltonChampionship2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

West Brom vs Charlton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 25.1%, away 19.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.69 3.60 5.00
1xBet 1.69 3.78 4.79
Bet365 1.67 3.70 5.00
BetVictor 1.67 3.80 5.00
Betano 1.75 3.90 5.20
Betfair 1.67 3.80 5.00
Dafabet 1.77 3.70 4.80
Marathonbet 1.67 3.78 4.80
Pinnacle 1.70 3.98 5.10
SBO 1.68 3.45 4.49
Superbet 1.72 3.75 4.90
Unibet 1.73 3.60 4.60
William Hill 1.73 3.60 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 ▼ -0.04
X 3.75 ▲ +0.20
2 4.90 ▲ +0.25

7 snapshots recorded, from .