England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 4

West Ham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

4 – 2 Full time

33′D. Mukasa
42′J. Bowen
44′M. Munetsi
45′Divine Mukasa
53′D. Mukasa
56′K. Walker-PetersJ. Veltman
56′J. PiroeT. Castellanos
60′R. GomesA. Armstrong
64′K. Mavropanos
65′R. JimenezJ. James
66′M. MunetsiT. Doyle
69′D. MukasaK. Lamadrid
69′PabloM. Kante
69′K. Mavropanos
79′M. SolomonE. Austbo
80′M. ManeT. Chirewa
87′Jordan James
90′Valentín Castellanos

London Stadium, LondonReferee: L. Smith

West Ham 45%
Draw 26%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 3
43 Possession % 57
6 Corners 7
9 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
337 Accurate passes 452

West Ham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: West Ham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWest HamDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
Model41.5%24.5%33.9%
Market46.0%26.2%27.8%
Final44.9%25.8%29.3%
Edge-4.5%-1.7%+6.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

West Ham ↓ / Wolverhampton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

West Ham and Wolverhampton Wanderers expected goals

West Ham 1.78
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.60

Total expected goals: 3.38

West Ham and Wolverhampton Wanderers attack and defence ratings

West Ham

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

West Ham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: result vs prediction

West Ham 4 – 2 Wolverhampton Wanderers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

West Ham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 West Ham 44.9% 2.23 -4.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.7% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.4% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2West Ham44.9%
Draw25.8%
Wolverhampton Wanderers29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.7%
Under 2.534.3%
Both teams to scoreYes67.4%
No32.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.1%
Handicap -1West Ham win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.7%
2-18.6%
1-27.7%

West Ham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers stats

West Ham and Wolverhampton Wanderers recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

West Ham and Wolverhampton Wanderers going into this match

league record before kick-off

West Ham record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

West Ham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5West Ham wins 0Draws 5Wolverhampton Wanderers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-10West HamWolverhampton WanderersPremier League4-0
2026-01-03Wolverhampton WanderersWest HamPremier League3-0
2025-08-26Wolverhampton WanderersWest HamLeague Cup3-2
2025-04-01Wolverhampton WanderersWest HamPremier League1-0
2024-12-09West HamWolverhampton WanderersPremier League2-1
2024-07-28Wolverhampton WanderersWest HamFriendlies Clubs3-1
2024-04-06Wolverhampton WanderersWest HamPremier League1-2
2023-12-17West HamWolverhampton WanderersPremier League3-0
2023-01-14Wolverhampton WanderersWest HamPremier League1-0
2022-10-01West HamWolverhampton WanderersPremier League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

West Ham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.0%, draw 26.2%, away 27.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.20 3.55 3.25
1xBet 2.02 3.62 3.38
Bet365 2.00 3.60 3.50
BetVictor 2.05 3.70 3.30
Betano 2.15 3.70 3.50
Betfair 2.10 3.60 3.40
Dafabet 2.09 3.70 3.40
Marathonbet 2.00 3.62 3.38
Pinnacle 2.08 3.77 3.48
SBO 2.02 3.35 3.17
Superbet 2.07 3.60 3.40
Unibet 2.00 3.60 3.40
William Hill 2.05 3.50 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.07
X 3.60 ▲ +0.05
2 3.40 ▼ -0.20

5 snapshots recorded, from .