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England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 5

Birmingham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

2 – 2 Full time

3′F. Lopez
22′J. Stansfield
31′L. Krejci
36′J. Tchatchoua
51′Marshall Munetsi
53′Christoph Klarer
67′Phil Neumann
68′M. MunetsiJ. James
68′R. GomesM. Mane
69′L. MillarD. Gray
76′R. JimenezT. Doyle
81′J. StansfieldM. Ducksch
81′P. RobertsC. Vicente
81′A. PriskeL. Vazquez
87′AndreB. Traore
87′A. ArmstrongS. Neave
90′BirminghamE. Laird

St. Andrew's Stadium, BirminghamReferee: A. Herczeg

Birmingham 33%
Draw 28%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
53 Possession % 47
8 Corners 4
17 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 4
257 Accurate passes 236

Birmingham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Birmingham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBirminghamDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
Model35.8%25.0%39.2%
Market32.3%29.4%38.3%
Final33.2%28.3%38.5%
Edge+3.4%-4.4%+0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Wolverhampton Wanderers

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Birmingham ↓ / Wolverhampton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Birmingham and Wolverhampton Wanderers expected goals

Birmingham 1.61
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.69

Total expected goals: 3.30

Birmingham and Wolverhampton Wanderers attack and defence ratings

Birmingham

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Birmingham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: result vs prediction

Birmingham 2 – 2 Wolverhampton Wanderers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

Birmingham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38.5% 2.60 +0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.3% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.8% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Birmingham33.2%
Draw28.3%
Wolverhampton Wanderers38.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%
Both teams to scoreYes66.3%
No33.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.5%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)66.8%
Handicap -1Wolverhampton Wanderers win20.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.6%
Loss60.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-28.5%
2-18.1%

Birmingham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers stats

Birmingham and Wolverhampton Wanderers recent form

newest first
Birmingham DWLDDW
Wolverhampton Wanderers LWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Birmingham and Wolverhampton Wanderers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Birmingham record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Birmingham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Birmingham wins 2Draws 6Wolverhampton Wanderers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-04-15Wolverhampton WanderersBirminghamChampionship2-0
2017-12-04BirminghamWolverhampton WanderersChampionship0-1
2017-02-24Wolverhampton WanderersBirminghamChampionship1-2
2016-08-20BirminghamWolverhampton WanderersChampionship1-3
2016-03-13Wolverhampton WanderersBirminghamChampionship0-0
2015-10-31BirminghamWolverhampton WanderersChampionship0-2
2015-04-11BirminghamWolverhampton WanderersChampionship2-1
2014-11-01Wolverhampton WanderersBirminghamChampionship0-0
2013-04-01BirminghamWolverhampton WanderersChampionship2-3
2012-12-08Wolverhampton WanderersBirminghamChampionship1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Birmingham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 29.3%, away 38.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.78 3.20 2.50
1xBet 2.91 3.14 2.47
Bet365 2.90 3.25 2.40
BetVictor 2.88 3.30 2.45
Betano 3.00 3.20 2.47
Betfair 2.88 3.30 2.40
Dafabet 3.10 3.30 2.41
Marathonbet 2.90 3.14 2.45
Pinnacle 3.00 3.30 2.52
SBO 2.70 2.97 2.26
Unibet 2.80 3.20 2.48
William Hill 2.80 3.10 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▼ -0.05
X 3.20 —
2 2.45 ▲ +0.03

9 snapshots recorded, from .