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England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 5

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich

1 – 3 Full time

8′A. Musaba
23′P. Bamford
38′Kellen Fisher
38′Ruairi McConville
44′Mohamed Touré
44′M. Toure
45′Liam Kitching
46′J. RiedewaldK. Phillips
55′Rhys Norrington-Davies
58′R. Norrington-DaviesS. McCallum
58′T. CampbellT. Cannon
61′A. SlimaneJ. Wright
61′M. ToureM. Kvistgaarden
62′M. Kvistgaarden
70′A. MusabaP. A. Diallo
77′B. Brereton DiazJ. Shackleton
77′R. DonovanO. Arblaster
85′R. McConvilleH. Darling
85′A. BrooksA. Crnac

Bramall Lane, SheffieldReferee: J. Smith

Sheffield Utd 38%
Draw 27%
Norwich 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 8
46 Possession % 54
7 Corners 4
14 Fouls 13
6 Offsides 3
4 Saves 3
288 Accurate passes 358

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sheffield Utd vs Norwich

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySheffield UtdDrawNorwich
Model46.0%25.0%28.9%
Market35.8%27.6%36.6%
Final38.3%27.0%34.7%
Edge+10.3%-2.6%-7.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Sheffield Utd

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.39.
  • The market prices Sheffield Utd below the model: +10.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sheffield Utd ↓ / Norwich → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Sheffield Utd and Norwich expected goals

Sheffield Utd 1.80
Norwich 1.39

Total expected goals: 3.19

Sheffield Utd and Norwich attack and defence ratings

Sheffield Utd

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Norwich

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich: result vs prediction

Sheffield Utd 1 – 3 Norwich

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheffield Utd 38.3% 2.61 +10.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.9% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.8% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sheffield Utd38.3%
Draw27.0%
Norwich34.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.9%
Under 2.538.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.3%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)61.7%
Handicap -1Sheffield Utd win25.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss53.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.3%
1-27.2%

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich stats

Sheffield Utd and Norwich recent form

newest first
Sheffield Utd WDWDDW
Norwich LWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sheffield Utd and Norwich going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sheffield Utd record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Norwich record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Sheffield Utd wins 4Draws 1Norwich wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-11NorwichSheffield UtdEngland Championship2-1
2025-12-09Sheffield UtdNorwichEngland Championship1-1
2025-01-18Sheffield UtdNorwichChampionship2-0
2024-08-24NorwichSheffield UtdChampionship1-1
2023-04-01NorwichSheffield UtdChampionship0-1
2022-10-22Sheffield UtdNorwichChampionship2-2
2020-03-07Sheffield UtdNorwichPremier League1-0
2019-12-08NorwichSheffield UtdPremier League1-2
2019-01-26NorwichSheffield UtdChampionship2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.0%, draw 27.6%, away 36.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.54 3.45 2.60
1xBet 2.60 3.38 2.55
Bet365 2.62 3.30 2.55
BetVictor 2.63 3.50 2.55
Betano 2.60 3.45 2.67
Betfair 2.50 3.40 2.70
Dafabet 2.60 3.50 2.70
Marathonbet 2.60 3.38 2.55
Pinnacle 2.68 3.62 2.61
SBO 2.37 3.09 2.47
Unibet 2.48 3.40 2.70
William Hill 2.60 3.30 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.61 ▲ +0.31
X 3.38 ▼ -0.01
2 2.55 ▼ -0.37

11 snapshots recorded, from .