Preston
vs
Blackburn
2 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | C. Lang | ||
| 25′ | Yuri Ribeiro | ||
| 27′ | C. Lang | ||
| 40′ | Sam Morsy | ||
| 42′ | Delano Burgzorg | ||
| 51′ | S. Mills | ||
| 52′ | Stanley Mills | ||
| 59′ | C. WileyA. Vukcevic | ||
| 59′ | C. LangJ. Kenny | ||
| 59′ | D. BurgzorgJ. Erabi | ||
| 64′ | A. ForshawH. Carter | ||
| 64′ | O. AfolayanJ. Fevrier | ||
| 65′ | Harry Clarke | ||
| 69′ | S. MillsO. Offiah | ||
| 74′ | A. DevineL. Gibbs | ||
| 74′ | S. MorsyH. Higgins | ||
| 88′ | Jordan Thompson |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 33 | Possession % | 67 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 5 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 159 | Accurate passes | 420 |
Preston vs Blackburn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Preston vs Blackburn
| Probability | Preston | Draw | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.6% | 27.5% | 48.9% |
| Market | 38.2% | 29.5% | 32.3% |
| Final | 34.5% | 29.0% | 36.5% |
| Edge | -14.6% | -2.0% | +16.6% |
Why Blackburn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Blackburn below the model: +16.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Preston and Blackburn expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.62
Preston and Blackburn attack and defence ratings
Preston
Blackburn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Preston vs Blackburn: result vs prediction
Preston 2 – 1 Blackburn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Preston vs Blackburn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackburn | 36.5% | 2.74 | +16.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preston | 34.5% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Blackburn | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Blackburn win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 51.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.3% | |
| 1-2 | 9.5% |
Preston vs Blackburn stats
Preston and Blackburn recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Preston and Blackburn going into this match
Preston record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Blackburn record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Preston vs Blackburn head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Blackburn | Preston | England Championship | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Preston | Blackburn | England Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-31 | Blackburn | Preston | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Preston | Blackburn | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-17 | Preston | Blackburn | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2023-11-10 | Blackburn | Preston | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-22 | Preston | Blackburn | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2022-12-10 | Blackburn | Preston | Championship | 1-4 |
| 2022-04-25 | Preston | Blackburn | Championship | 1-4 |
| 2021-12-04 | Blackburn | Preston | Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Preston vs Blackburn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.4%, draw 29.2%, away 32.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.47 | 3.14 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.14 | 2.89 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53 | 3.29 | 2.99 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 3.00 | 2.71 |
| Unibet | 2.48 | 3.15 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .