England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 6

Watford vs Preston

2 – 1 Full time

5′C. Lang
46′A. NabizadaS. Mavididi
46′M. PayeroI. Bravo
46′R. VataO. Maamma
61′O. H. TraoreJ. Zemura
62′Andrija Vukčević
66′A. VukcevicS. Mills
66′J. KennyD. Burgzorg
67′Lewis Gibson
69′E. Kayembe
75′L. LeroyL. Gibbs
75′C. LangJ. Erabi
76′M. Doumbia
82′A. DevineT. Small
88′M. DoumbiaL. Kjerrumgaard

Vicarage Road, WatfordReferee: F. Hallam

Watford 41%
Draw 28%
Preston 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 6
61 Possession % 39
2 Corners 4
7 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
5 Saves 3
436 Accurate passes 243

Watford vs Preston overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Watford vs Preston

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWatfordDrawPreston
Model29.3%27.9%42.9%
Market44.9%27.6%27.5%
Final41.0%27.7%31.3%
Edge-15.6%+0.2%+15.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Watford ↓ / Preston → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Watford and Preston expected goals

Watford 1.21
Preston 1.50

Total expected goals: 2.71

Watford and Preston attack and defence ratings

Watford

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Preston

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Watford vs Preston: result vs prediction

Watford 2 – 1 Preston

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

Watford vs Preston markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Watford 41.0% 2.44 -15.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.9% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.7% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Watford41.0%
Draw27.7%
Preston31.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.9%
Under 2.549.1%
Both teams to scoreYes55.7%
No44.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.7%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)59.0%
Handicap -1Watford win12.6%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss70.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-29.1%
0-18.8%

Watford vs Preston stats

Watford and Preston recent form

newest first
Watford LLDLDW
Preston WLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Watford and Preston going into this match

league record before kick-off

Watford record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Preston record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

Watford vs Preston head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Watford wins 5Draws 2Preston wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14PrestonWatfordEngland Championship2-2
2025-11-25WatfordPrestonEngland Championship1-1
2025-01-21WatfordPrestonChampionship1-2
2024-10-02PrestonWatfordChampionship3-0
2024-04-06WatfordPrestonChampionship0-0
2023-12-16PrestonWatfordChampionship1-5
2023-03-04WatfordPrestonChampionship0-0
2022-08-20PrestonWatfordChampionship0-0
2021-02-16PrestonWatfordChampionship0-1
2020-11-28WatfordPrestonChampionship4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Watford vs Preston odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 27.6%, away 27.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.20 3.35 3.20
1xBet 2.03 3.52 3.44
888Sport 2.05 3.30 3.40
Bet365 2.10 3.40 3.40
BetVictor 2.10 3.50 3.40
Betano 2.07 3.40 3.65
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.40
Dafabet 2.10 3.50 3.55
Marathonbet 2.01 3.52 3.45
Pinnacle 2.16 3.48 3.53
SBO 2.08 3.15 3.23
Superbet 2.10 3.45 3.50
Unibet 2.04 3.35 3.50
William Hill 2.05 3.30 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.09 ▲ +0.07
X 3.40 ▼ -0.05
2 3.42 ▼ -0.10

10 snapshots recorded, from .