Preston
vs
Lincoln
0 – 1 Full time
| 54′ | Harry Clarke | ||
| 58′ | Tom BaylissIvan Varfolomeev | ||
| 59′ | Robert Nicholas StreetF. Draper | ||
| 64′ | Liam GibbsLeo Leroy | ||
| 64′ | Callum LangJusef Erabi | ||
| 64′ | Johnny KennyDelano Burgzorg | ||
| 68′ | Reeco Hackett-FairchildChiedozie Ogbene | ||
| 68′ | Daniel OyegokeDom Jefferies | ||
| 72′ | Andrija VukčevićThierry Small | ||
| 78′ | Stanley MillsAndrew Hughes | ||
| 81′ | F. Draper | ||
| 86′ | Dom Jefferies | ||
| 88′ | Adam ReachRyley Towler |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 16 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 252 | Accurate passes | 254 |
Preston vs Lincoln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Preston vs Lincoln
| Probability | Preston | Draw | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.7% | 24.9% | 49.4% |
| Market | 40.4% | 27.5% | 32.1% |
| Final | 36.8% | 26.8% | 36.4% |
| Edge | -14.7% | -2.6% | +17.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Preston and Lincoln expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Preston and Lincoln attack and defence ratings
Preston
Lincoln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Preston vs Lincoln: result vs prediction
Preston 0 – 1 Lincoln
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Preston vs Lincoln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preston | 36.8% | 2.72 | -14.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preston | 36.8% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Lincoln | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% |
| No | 38.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Preston win | 11.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.5% | |
| Loss | 74.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Preston vs Lincoln stats
Preston and Lincoln recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Preston and Lincoln going into this match
Preston record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Lincoln record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Preston vs Lincoln head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-12 | Preston | Lincoln | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Preston vs Lincoln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.5%, draw 27.4%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.38 | 2.92 |
| 888Sport | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.34 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 3.38 | 2.91 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 3.48 | 3.02 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.18 | 2.78 |
| Unibet | 2.15 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .