England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 8

QPR vs Preston

2 – 2 Full time

1′Johnny Kenny
15′Dennis Cirkin
19′Jonathan VaraneKealey Adamson
22′Leon Scarlett
24′Andrew Hughes
26′Johnny Kenny
45′Leon ScarlettKoki Saito
55′Koki Saito
65′Julien Stéphan
65′Amadou Salif MbenguePaul Smyth
66′Kwame Poku
67′Leo LeroyLiam Gibbs
67′Johnny KennyJusef Erabi
82′Rumarn BurrellAlfie Lloyd
89′Andrija VukčevićPol Valentin
89′Stanley MillsOdeluga Offiah
90′Harry Clarke
90′Paul Smyth

Loftus Road, LondonReferee: Thomas Parsons

QPR 54%
Draw 26%
Preston 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

30 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
60 Possession % 40
10 Corners 3
8 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
1 Saves 4
437 Accurate passes 258

QPR vs Preston overview

Garuda Lions analysis: QPR vs Preston

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQPRDrawPreston
Model54.0%28.0%18.0%
Market54.2%25.0%20.8%
Final54.1%25.7%20.1%
Edge-0.2%+3.0%-2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why QPR

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.79.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

QPR ↓ / Preston → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 14% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

QPR and Preston expected goals

QPR 1.54
Preston 0.79

Total expected goals: 2.34

QPR and Preston attack and defence ratings

QPR

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Preston

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

QPR vs Preston: result vs prediction

QPR 2 – 2 Preston

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

QPR vs Preston markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 QPR 54.1% 1.85 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.9% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.0% 2.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2QPR54.1%
Draw25.7%
Preston20.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
Both teams to scoreYes44.2%
No55.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.9%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)45.9%
Handicap -1QPR win29.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.0%
Loss46.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.7%
1-113.0%
2-011.5%

QPR vs Preston stats

QPR and Preston recent form

newest first
QPR DDLWWD
Preston LLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

QPR and Preston going into this match

league record before kick-off

QPR record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Preston record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.

QPR vs Preston head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6QPR wins 2Draws 2Preston wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-06PrestonQPREngland Championship1-1
2025-08-09QPRPrestonEngland Championship1-1
2025-04-18PrestonQPRChampionship1-2
2024-12-21QPRPrestonChampionship2-1
2024-04-20QPRPrestonChampionship1-0
2023-12-01PrestonQPRChampionship0-2
2023-04-07QPRPrestonChampionship0-2
2022-12-17PrestonQPRChampionship0-1
2022-04-09PrestonQPRChampionship2-1
2021-10-02QPRPrestonChampionship3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

QPR vs Preston odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.2%, draw 25.0%, away 20.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.71 3.84 4.46
Bet365 1.73 3.75 4.75
BetVictor 1.73 3.80 4.60
Betano 1.78 4.00 4.65
Betfair 1.75 3.80 4.60
Marathonbet 1.69 3.84 4.50
Pinnacle 1.77 3.97 4.55
SBO 1.75 3.21 3.79
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▲ +0.08
X 3.80 ▼ -0.10
2 4.55 ▼ -0.05

13 snapshots recorded, from .