West Ham
vs
QPR
1 – 1 Full time
West Ham vs QPR overview
Garuda Lions analysis: West Ham vs QPR
| Probability | West Ham | Draw | QPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.5% | 20.6% | 16.9% |
| Market | 65.1% | 19.7% | 15.2% |
| Final | 64.4% | 19.9% | 15.6% |
| Edge | -2.5% | +0.8% | +1.7% |
Why West Ham
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
West Ham and QPR expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.48
West Ham and QPR attack and defence ratings
West Ham
QPR
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
West Ham vs QPR: result vs prediction
West Ham 1 – 1 QPR
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
West Ham vs QPR markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham | 64.4% | 1.55 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | West Ham win | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham | 64.4% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| QPR | 15.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% |
| No | 37.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | West Ham win | 41.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 37.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-1 | 9.1% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
West Ham vs QPR stats
West Ham and QPR recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
West Ham and QPR going into this match
West Ham record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
QPR record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
West Ham vs QPR head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | West Ham | QPR | England FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2015-04-25 | QPR | West Ham | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2014-10-05 | West Ham | QPR | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2013-01-19 | West Ham | QPR | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2012-10-01 | QPR | West Ham | Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
West Ham vs QPR odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.1%, draw 19.7%, away 15.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.65 | 6.06 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.47 | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.65 | 6.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.90 | 6.26 |
| SBO | 1.44 | 4.32 | 5.61 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
40 snapshots recorded, from .