Bolton
vs
Stoke City
1 – 2 Full time
| 20′ | Maksym Taloverov | ||
| 34′ | Jack Mcglynn | ||
| 45′ | Lamine Cissé | ||
| 45′ | Justin DevennyLuca Bombino | ||
| 45′ | Ethan ErhahonAtsuki Ito | ||
| 56′ | Thierry GaleJayden Nelson | ||
| 56′ | Kyliane DongSamuel Iling | ||
| 62′ | Ben Wilmot | ||
| 63′ | Ruben RodriguesRyan Hardie | ||
| 69′ | El Hadji SoumareBosun Lawal | ||
| 69′ | Lamine CisséGeorge Hirst | ||
| 69′ | Jack McglynnJunior Tchamadeu | ||
| 72′ | Max Conway | ||
| 82′ | Ben DaviesThelonius Bair | ||
| 90′ | Thelonius Bair |
Match stats
| 30 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 499 | Accurate passes | 182 |
Bolton vs Stoke City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bolton vs Stoke City
| Probability | Bolton | Draw | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.8% | 24.7% | 36.5% |
| Market | 34.6% | 28.3% | 37.1% |
| Final | 35.6% | 27.4% | 37.0% |
| Edge | +1.0% | -0.9% | -0.1% |
Why Stoke City
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bolton and Stoke City expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Bolton and Stoke City attack and defence ratings
Bolton
Stoke City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bolton vs Stoke City: result vs prediction
Bolton 1 – 2 Stoke City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bolton vs Stoke City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stoke City | 37.0% | 2.70 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bolton | 35.6% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Stoke City | 37.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% |
| No | 32.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stoke City win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 63.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Bolton vs Stoke City stats
Bolton and Stoke City recent form
| Bolton |
WWLLLL |
| Stoke City |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bolton and Stoke City going into this match
Bolton record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Stoke City record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Bolton vs Stoke City head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-30 | Bolton | Stoke City | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2018-12-29 | Bolton | Stoke City | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2018-10-02 | Stoke City | Bolton | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2012-05-13 | Stoke City | Bolton | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2011-11-06 | Bolton | Stoke City | Premier League | 5-0 |
| 2011-01-15 | Stoke City | Bolton | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2010-10-16 | Bolton | Stoke City | Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bolton vs Stoke City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.6%, draw 28.3%, away 37.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.71 | 3.28 | 2.49 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.71 | 3.28 | 2.49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84 | 3.32 | 2.63 |
| SBO | 2.59 | 3.14 | 2.47 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
41 snapshots recorded, from .