Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
Bolton
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton
| Probability | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Bolton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.0% | 23.3% | 21.8% |
| Market | 67.2% | 19.5% | 13.3% |
| Final | 64.1% | 20.5% | 15.4% |
| Edge | -12.2% | +3.7% | +8.5% |
Why Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton match preview
Wolverhampton Wanderers enter the match against Bolton with a 64% probability of winning, reflecting their stronger recent form, which includes three wins in their last six matches. The expected goals for Wolverhampton are 2.03, while Bolton's expected goals stand at 1.23, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, with a 10% likelihood.
Bolton's recent performance has been less favorable, with six matches resulting in three wins and three losses. The probabilities suggest a 21% chance of a draw and a 16% chance of a Bolton victory. Additionally, there is a 63% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 62% chance of scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton attack and defence ratings
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bolton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 64.1% | 1.56 | -12.2% | 1.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 64.1% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Bolton | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% |
| No | 37.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 45.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton stats
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton recent form
| Wolverhampton Wanderers |
WLWDLW |
| Bolton |
WWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton season so far
Wolverhampton Wanderers record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
Bolton record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.2%, draw 19.5%, away 13.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 4.70 | 6.83 |
| Dafabet | 1.42 | 5.00 | 7.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .