England Championship
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
Bolton
1 – 3 Full time
| 26′ | Mateus Mane | ||
| 28′ | Atsuki Ito | ||
| 45′ | Gaizka Larrazabal | ||
| 50′ | Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | ||
| 63′ | Mateus ManeRafiki Said Ahamada | ||
| 63′ | Samuel IlingJayden Nelson | ||
| 66′ | Atsuki ItoRuben Rodrigues | ||
| 66′ | Thelonius BairSam Dalby | ||
| 72′ | Sam Dalby | ||
| 76′ | Ethan Erhahon | ||
| 78′ | Ethan ErhahonXavier Simons | ||
| 78′ | Thierry GaleMax Conway | ||
| 80′ | Jordan JamesMarshall Munetsi | ||
| 80′ | Hugo BuenoGhislain Konan | ||
| 82′ | Josh Sheehan | ||
| 85′ | AndréSean Neave | ||
| 89′ | Kieran Trippier | ||
| 90′ | Sean Neave |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
64%
Draw
21%
Bolton
15%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 458 | Accurate passes | 261 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton
| Probability | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Bolton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.0% | 24.6% | 22.3% |
| Market | 67.9% | 19.5% | 12.6% |
| Final | 64.2% | 20.8% | 15.0% |
| Edge | -3.7% | +1.3% | +2.4% |
Why Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.16.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton expected goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.87
Bolton
1.16
Total expected goals: 3.03
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton attack and defence ratings
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Bolton
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton: result vs prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1 – 3 Bolton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 64.2% | 1.56 | -3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 64.2% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Bolton | 15.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 47.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.5% |
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton stats
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton recent form
| Wolverhampton Wanderers |
LWLWDL |
| Bolton |
LWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton going into this match
Wolverhampton Wanderers record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
Bolton record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Wolverhampton Wanderers wins
4Draws
3Bolton wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-21 | Bolton | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Championship | 0-4 |
| 2017-11-25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton | Championship | 5-1 |
| 2016-02-02 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2015-09-12 | Bolton | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2015-01-31 | Bolton | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2014-09-20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2013-04-06 | Bolton | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2012-10-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2012-03-31 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Bolton | Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2011-12-31 | Bolton | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.9%, draw 19.5%, away 12.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 4.85 | 7.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.80 | 7.80 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 4.85 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 5.10 | 7.56 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.54 | 6.66 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.38 ▼ -0.02
X
4.80 ▲ +0.10
2
7.45 ▲ +0.62
14 snapshots recorded, from .