Bristol City
vs
Blackburn
0 – 1 Full time
| 38′ | Oladapo Afolayan | ||
| 45′ | Sam GreenwoodYu Hirakawa | ||
| 62′ | Todd CantwellMoussa·Baradji | ||
| 62′ | Ryoya MorishitaAugustus Kargbo | ||
| 63′ | Oladapo AfolayanJ. Fevrier | ||
| 67′ | Jason KnightBrian de Keersmaecker | ||
| 67′ | Scott TwineTomi Horvat | ||
| 73′ | Kristi MontgomeryAndri Guðjohnsen | ||
| 75′ | George TannerRio Cardines | ||
| 75′ | Jed WallaceElijah Adebayo |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 3 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Offsides | 5 |
| 0 | Saves | 7 |
| 336 | Accurate passes | 268 |
Bristol City vs Blackburn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol City vs Blackburn
| Probability | Bristol City | Draw | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.8% | 27.3% | 34.8% |
| Market | 45.6% | 27.7% | 26.7% |
| Final | 43.7% | 27.6% | 28.7% |
| Edge | -1.9% | -0.1% | +2.0% |
Why Bristol City
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bristol City and Blackburn expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Bristol City and Blackburn attack and defence ratings
Bristol City
Blackburn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bristol City vs Blackburn: result vs prediction
Bristol City 0 – 1 Blackburn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol City vs Blackburn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 43.7% | 2.29 | -1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 43.7% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Blackburn | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bristol City win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 62.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Bristol City vs Blackburn stats
Bristol City and Blackburn recent form
| Bristol City |
DWLLWW |
| Blackburn |
WDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol City and Blackburn going into this match
Bristol City record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Blackburn record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Bristol City vs Blackburn head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-24 | Blackburn | Bristol City | England Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-04 | Bristol City | Blackburn | England Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-25 | Bristol City | Blackburn | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Blackburn | Bristol City | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-10 | Bristol City | Blackburn | Championship | 5-0 |
| 2023-12-12 | Blackburn | Bristol City | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-21 | Bristol City | Blackburn | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Blackburn | Bristol City | Championship | 2-3 |
| 2022-03-12 | Blackburn | Bristol City | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2021-11-20 | Bristol City | Blackburn | Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bristol City vs Blackburn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.6%, draw 27.7%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.48 | 3.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.48 | 3.45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.40 | 3.66 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.16 | 3.19 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .