Bristol City
vs
Blackburn
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bristol City
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Bristol City vs Blackburn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol City vs Blackburn
| Probability | Bristol City | Draw | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.5% | 27.2% | 32.3% |
| Market | 47.9% | 26.4% | 25.7% |
| Final | 46.1% | 26.6% | 27.3% |
| Edge | -7.4% | +0.8% | +6.7% |
Why Bristol City
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.99, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bristol City vs Blackburn match preview
Bristol City is set to face Blackburn in the Championship, with the home side holding a 46% probability of winning, while both teams share a 27% chance of a draw or an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Bristol City, with an expected goals tally of 1.52 compared to Blackburn's 1.34. The match also has a 55% chance of featuring over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Bristol City has won three of their last six matches, while Blackburn has struggled, with only one win in their last six outings. The head-to-head record from their last two encounters shows one win for each side, indicating a competitive matchup ahead. The confidence grade for this fixture is C, reflecting a blend of probabilities and market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bristol City and Blackburn expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
Bristol City and Blackburn attack and defence ratings
Bristol City
Blackburn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol City vs Blackburn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 46.1% | 2.17 | -7.4% | 1.99 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 46.1% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Blackburn | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bristol City win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Bristol City vs Blackburn stats
Bristol City and Blackburn recent form
| Bristol City |
WLLWWW |
| Blackburn |
DWLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol City and Blackburn season so far
Bristol City record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Blackburn record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Bristol City vs Blackburn head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-24 | Blackburn | Bristol City | England Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-04 | Bristol City | Blackburn | England Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bristol City vs Blackburn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 26.4%, away 25.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.61 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.65 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .