England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 11

West Brom vs Blackburn

3 – 2 Full time

6′Andri Guðjohnsen
12′Andri Guðjohnsen
19′Barney Stewart
21′Kristi Montgomery
23′George Campbell
27′Ryoya MorishitaJ. Fevrier
32′Oladapo Afolayan
41′Chris Mepham
43′Toby CollyerOusmane·Diakite
60′Oladapo AfolayanMoussa·Baradji
60′Todd CantwellMathias Jørgensen
61′Sam MorsyJake Garrett
63′Barney StewartAune Heggebo
63′Rabby NzingoulaHarry Whitwell
71′Sean McLoughlin
72′Isaac Price
73′Andri GuðjohnsenHayden Carter
87′George CampbellNathaniel Phillips
87′J. MorganFelix Horn Myhre
89′Felix Horn Myhre

The Hawthorns, West BromwichReferee: Adam Herczeg

West Brom 47%
Draw 28%
Blackburn 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
64 Possession % 36
8 Corners 4
9 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 1
0 Saves 2
457 Accurate passes 215

West Brom vs Blackburn overview

Garuda Lions analysis: West Brom vs Blackburn

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWest BromDrawBlackburn
Model39.0%30.0%31.0%
Market49.7%26.7%23.6%
Final47.0%27.5%25.5%
Edge-10.7%+3.3%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

West Brom ↓ / Blackburn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

West Brom and Blackburn expected goals

West Brom 1.29
Blackburn 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.42

West Brom and Blackburn attack and defence ratings

West Brom

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Blackburn

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

West Brom vs Blackburn: result vs prediction

West Brom 3 – 2 Blackburn

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

West Brom vs Blackburn markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 West Brom 47.0% 2.13 -10.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.5% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.0% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2West Brom47.0%
Draw27.5%
Blackburn25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.5%
Under 2.556.5%
Both teams to scoreYes50.3%
No49.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)53.0%
Handicap -1West Brom win18.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss61.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
1-010.2%

West Brom vs Blackburn stats

West Brom and Blackburn recent form

newest first
West Brom WLLDWW
Blackburn WWDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

West Brom and Blackburn going into this match

league record before kick-off

West Brom record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Blackburn record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.

West Brom vs Blackburn head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3West Brom wins 4Draws 3Blackburn wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-06BlackburnWest BromEngland Championship0-0
2025-08-09West BromBlackburnEngland Championship1-0
2025-02-12West BromBlackburnChampionship0-2
2024-10-23BlackburnWest BromChampionship0-0
2024-01-13West BromBlackburnChampionship4-1
2023-08-05BlackburnWest BromChampionship2-1
2023-02-15West BromBlackburnChampionship1-1
2022-08-14BlackburnWest BromChampionship2-1
2022-02-14West BromBlackburnChampionship0-0
2021-08-21BlackburnWest BromChampionship1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

West Brom vs Blackburn odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 26.7%, away 23.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.87 3.54 3.95
Bet365 1.91 3.50 4.10
BetVictor 1.87 3.40 4.00
Betano 1.93 3.55 4.00
Betfair 1.91 3.60 4.00
Dafabet 1.95 3.60 4.00
Marathonbet 1.85 3.54 3.96
Pinnacle 1.93 3.67 4.00
SBO 1.89 3.06 3.41
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.89 ▲ +0.02
X 3.52 ▼ -0.02
2 3.98 ▲ +0.03

7 snapshots recorded, from .