England Championship
·
Full time
·Matchday 11
Bristol City
vs
Sheffield Utd
0 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | Oliver Arblaster | ||
| 45′ | Scott TwineElijah Adebayo | ||
| 45′ | George TannerJed Wallace | ||
| 69′ | Jordan AyewPatrick Bamford | ||
| 69′ | Tahith ChongSam McCallum | ||
| 72′ | Gibson Osahumen YahBrian de Keersmaecker | ||
| 78′ | Oliver ArblasterSydie Peck | ||
| 79′ | Ben BreretonRyan One | ||
| 79′ | Mark McGuinnessRomelle Donovan | ||
| 85′ | Jason KnightTomi Horvat | ||
| 85′ | Yu HirakawaSam Bellis | ||
| 87′ | Thomas CannonJamal Baptiste | ||
| 90′ | Brian de Keersmaecker | ||
| 90′ | Patrick Bamford |
Bristol City
44%
Draw
27%
Sheffield Utd
29%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 267 | Accurate passes | 228 |
Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd
| Probability | Bristol City | Draw | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.6% | 28.1% | 37.3% |
| Market | 47.5% | 26.5% | 26.0% |
| Final | 44.3% | 26.9% | 28.8% |
| Edge | -12.9% | +1.7% | +11.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Bristol City and Sheffield Utd expected goals
Bristol City
1.33
Sheffield Utd
1.39
Total expected goals: 2.72
Bristol City and Sheffield Utd attack and defence ratings
Bristol City
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Sheffield Utd
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd: result vs prediction
Bristol City 0 – 1 Sheffield Utd
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 44.3% | 2.26 | -12.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 44.3% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Sheffield Utd | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% |
| No | 43.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bristol City win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 65.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd stats
Bristol City and Sheffield Utd recent form
| Bristol City |
LDWLLW |
| Sheffield Utd |
LWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol City and Sheffield Utd going into this match
Bristol City record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sheffield Utd record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Bristol City wins
2Draws
6Sheffield Utd wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Bristol City | Sheffield Utd | England Championship | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Sheffield Utd | Bristol City | England Championship | 1-4 |
| 2025-05-12 | Sheffield Utd | Bristol City | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-08 | Bristol City | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 0-3 |
| 2025-03-11 | Sheffield Utd | Bristol City | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-05 | Bristol City | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-18 | Sheffield Utd | Bristol City | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2022-11-01 | Bristol City | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2022-04-18 | Bristol City | Sheffield Utd | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Sheffield Utd | Bristol City | Championship | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 26.5%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.58 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.58 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 3.73 | 3.78 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.04 | 2.98 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.97 ▼ -0.29
X
3.54 ▲ +0.04
2
3.60 ▲ +0.59
11 snapshots recorded, from .