England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 10

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd

3 – 2 Full time

27′Jayden Meghoma
35′Hamza Choudhury
41′Zak Swanson
44′Hamza Choudhury
45′Patrick BamfordMark McGuinness
45′Ben BreretonKalvin Phillips
54′Adrian Segecic
59′Japhet Tanganga
60′Nicolas Schmid
60′Sam McCallum
60′Joe RothwellOliver Arblaster
62′Marko MilovanovićColby·Bishop
67′Thomas Cannon
68′Abu KamaraKeshi Anderson
69′Iyad MohamedEbou Adams
69′Zak SwansonTerry Devlin
79′Tahith ChongRomelle Donovan
79′Thomas CannonTyrese Campbell
82′Ebou Adams
87′Keshi AndersonOdin Bailey
89′Ebou Adams

Fratton Park, PortsmouthReferee: Oliver Langford

Portsmouth 39%
Draw 28%
Sheffield Utd 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
67 Possession % 33
10 Corners 6
6 Fouls 7
4 Offsides 1
2 Saves 4
405 Accurate passes 157

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPortsmouthDrawSheffield Utd
Model33.3%29.1%37.6%
Market40.9%28.1%31.1%
Final39.0%28.3%32.7%
Edge-1.9%+0.3%+1.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Portsmouth ↓ / Sheffield Utd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd expected goals

Portsmouth 1.24
Sheffield Utd 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.57

Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd attack and defence ratings

Portsmouth

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Sheffield Utd

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd: result vs prediction

Portsmouth 3 – 2 Sheffield Utd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Portsmouth 39.0% 2.57 -1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.6% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.7% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Portsmouth39.0%
Draw28.3%
Sheffield Utd32.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.4%
Under 2.552.6%
Both teams to scoreYes53.5%
No46.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.3%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)61.0%
Handicap -1Portsmouth win14.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss66.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-18.9%
0-08.9%

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd stats

Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd recent form

newest first
Portsmouth LDDWLL
Sheffield Utd WLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd going into this match

league record before kick-off

Portsmouth record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Sheffield Utd record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Portsmouth wins 1Draws 4Sheffield Utd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14PortsmouthSheffield UtdEngland Championship0-1
2025-11-26Sheffield UtdPortsmouthEngland Championship3-0
2025-02-08Sheffield UtdPortsmouthChampionship2-1
2024-09-28PortsmouthSheffield UtdChampionship0-0
2013-04-20PortsmouthSheffield UtdLeague One3-0
2012-10-29Sheffield UtdPortsmouthLeague One1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 28.1%, away 31.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.27 3.40 2.99
Bet365 2.30 3.20 3.10
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 3.00
Betano 2.37 3.30 3.10
Betfair 2.30 3.30 3.10
Dafabet 2.40 3.40 3.05
Marathonbet 2.25 3.40 2.98
Pinnacle 2.36 3.43 3.14
SBO 2.28 3.11 2.86
William Hill 2.25 3.20 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.10
X 3.35 ▲ +0.01
2 3.02 ▲ +0.25

8 snapshots recorded, from .