Portsmouth
vs
Sheffield Utd
Garuda Lions Prediction: Portsmouth
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd
| Probability | Portsmouth | Draw | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 27.8% | 30.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.2% | 27.8% | 30.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd match preview
Portsmouth will face Sheffield United in the Championship, with kickoff scheduled for October 14, 2026. According to our model, Portsmouth has a 42% probability of winning, while Sheffield United stands at 30%, and a draw is estimated at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Portsmouth, occurring with a 9% probability. The expected goals are 1.50 for Portsmouth and 1.23 for Sheffield United, indicating a competitive match.
Recent form shows Portsmouth with mixed results, recording two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five games. In contrast, Sheffield United has experienced three losses followed by a win and another loss. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Sheffield United has secured two victories against Portsmouth. Our confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd attack and defence ratings
Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portsmouth | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portsmouth | 42.2% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Sheffield Utd | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Portsmouth win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd stats
Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd recent form
| Portsmouth |
DDWLLW |
| Sheffield Utd |
LLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd season so far
Portsmouth record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Sheffield Utd record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Portsmouth | Sheffield Utd | England Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Sheffield Utd | Portsmouth | England Championship | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.