England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 9

Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln

3 – 0 Full time

15′Sam McCallum
26′Conor McGrandles
39′Liam Kitching
43′Patrick Bamford
52′Tahith Chong
62′F. DraperMikkel Ladefoged
62′Conor McGrandlesYunus Konak
62′Ryley TowlerChiedozie Ogbene
67′Deji Elerewe
67′Japhet Tanganga
73′Hamza ChoudhuryMark McGuinness
75′Sydie Peck
76′Tom Bayliss
77′Patrick Bamford
78′Tahith ChongRomelle Donovan
78′Adam ReachCallum Elder
79′Dom JefferiesThomas Hamer
84′Ben BreretonRyan One
85′Joe RothwellJaïro Riedewald
85′Thomas CannonTyrese Campbell

Bramall Lane, SheffieldReferee: Josh Smith

Sheffield Utd 42%
Draw 29%
Lincoln 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
56 Possession % 44
2 Corners 2
14 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
377 Accurate passes 237

Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySheffield UtdDrawLincoln
Model37.1%29.4%33.5%
Market43.6%28.5%27.9%
Final42.0%28.7%29.3%
Edge-1.6%+0.2%+1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sheffield Utd ↓ / Lincoln → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Sheffield Utd and Lincoln expected goals

Sheffield Utd 1.30
Lincoln 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.52

Sheffield Utd and Lincoln attack and defence ratings

Sheffield Utd

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Lincoln

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln: result vs prediction

Sheffield Utd 3 – 0 Lincoln

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheffield Utd 42.0% 2.38 -1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.9% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.5% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.3% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.9% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sheffield Utd42.0%
Draw28.7%
Lincoln29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.1%
Under 2.553.9%
Both teams to scoreYes52.5%
No47.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)58.0%
Handicap -1Sheffield Utd win17.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss62.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-09.3%
1-09.2%

Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln stats

Sheffield Utd and Lincoln recent form

newest first
Sheffield Utd LLLWLW
Lincoln LWWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sheffield Utd and Lincoln going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sheffield Utd record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Lincoln record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Sheffield Utd wins 1Draws 0Lincoln wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-08-30Sheffield UtdLincolnLeague Cup0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 28.5%, away 27.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.15 3.30 3.31
Bet365 2.10 3.40 3.40
BetVictor 2.15 3.30 3.40
Betano 2.20 3.35 3.40
Betfair 2.20 3.25 3.40
Dafabet 2.22 3.40 3.35
Marathonbet 2.13 3.30 3.30
Pinnacle 2.20 3.40 3.51
SBO 2.16 3.10 3.07
William Hill 2.15 3.10 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.16 ▲ +0.31
X 3.30 ▼ -0.20
2 3.38 ▼ -0.52

41 snapshots recorded, from .