Sheffield Utd
vs
Lincoln
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sheffield Utd
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln
| Probability | Sheffield Utd | Draw | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 29.4% | 33.5% |
| Market | 45.0% | 27.7% | 27.4% |
| Final | 43.0% | 28.1% | 28.9% |
| Edge | -7.9% | +1.8% | +6.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln match preview
Sheffield Utd faces Lincoln in the Championship on October 10, 2026, with Sheffield Utd holding a 45% probability of winning, while Lincoln stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Sheffield Utd, with a 9% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Sheffield Utd is 1.30, slightly higher than Lincoln's 1.22, indicating a closely contested match.
Recent form shows Sheffield Utd struggling with three losses in their last five matches, while Lincoln has shown some resilience with two wins and a draw in their recent outings. The probabilities suggest a 27% chance of a draw, and there is a 52% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting a moderate level of uncertainty.
Sheffield Utd and Lincoln team news
Sheffield Utd news
- F. Seriki — knee injury
- H. Burrows — muscle injury
- R. One — hamstring injury
Lincoln news
- M. Melia — thigh injury
- T. Darikwa — knee injury
- T. Hamer — health problems
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sheffield Utd and Lincoln expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Sheffield Utd and Lincoln attack and defence ratings
Sheffield Utd
Lincoln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Utd | 43.0% | 2.33 | -7.9% | 2.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Utd | 43.0% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Lincoln | 28.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Utd win | 17.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 9.2% |
Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln stats
Sheffield Utd and Lincoln recent form
| Sheffield Utd |
LLLWLW |
| Lincoln |
LWWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sheffield Utd and Lincoln season so far
Sheffield Utd record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Lincoln record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-30 | Sheffield Utd | Lincoln | League Cup | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 27.7%, away 27.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.42 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.38 | 3.69 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 2.96 | 3.02 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
40 snapshots recorded, from .