Preston
vs
Millwall
0 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Leo Leroy | ||
| 19′ | Jenson Metcalfe | ||
| 45′ | Harry ClarkePol Valentin | ||
| 59′ | Callum LangDelano Burgzorg | ||
| 66′ | Ryan LeonardTristan Crama | ||
| 66′ | Kyrell LisbieLuke Cundle | ||
| 71′ | Derek Mazou Sacko | ||
| 72′ | Andrija VukčevićThierry Small | ||
| 74′ | Taïryk ArconteMark Sykes | ||
| 79′ | Camiel Neghli |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 247 | Accurate passes | 300 |
Preston vs Millwall overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Preston vs Millwall
| Probability | Preston | Draw | Millwall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.2% | 25.3% | 45.4% |
| Market | 32.3% | 27.9% | 39.8% |
| Final | 31.5% | 27.2% | 41.2% |
| Edge | -0.8% | -0.6% | +1.4% |
Why Millwall
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.38.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Preston and Millwall expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Preston and Millwall attack and defence ratings
Preston
Millwall
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Preston vs Millwall: result vs prediction
Preston 0 – 1 Millwall
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Preston vs Millwall markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millwall | 41.2% | 2.43 | +1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preston | 31.5% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Millwall | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Millwall win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
Preston vs Millwall stats
Preston and Millwall recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Preston and Millwall going into this match
Preston record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Millwall record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Preston vs Millwall head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Preston | Millwall | England Championship | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Millwall | Preston | England Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-18 | Preston | Millwall | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Millwall | Preston | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2024-01-27 | Millwall | Preston | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-21 | Preston | Millwall | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-15 | Millwall | Preston | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2022-11-12 | Preston | Millwall | Championship | 2-4 |
| 2022-04-15 | Preston | Millwall | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2022-02-01 | Millwall | Preston | Championship | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Preston vs Millwall odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 27.9%, away 39.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.85 | 3.36 | 2.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.35 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.84 | 3.36 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02 | 3.60 | 2.36 |
| SBO | 2.72 | 3.13 | 2.36 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
41 snapshots recorded, from .