Millwall
vs
West Ham
2 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | Caleb Taylor | ||
| 40′ | Felipe Morato | ||
| 45′ | Camiel Neghli | ||
| 45′ | Joel PiroePablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus | ||
| 45′ | Kyle Walker-PetersMohamadou Kante | ||
| 68′ | Divine MukasaEdvin Austbö | ||
| 70′ | Mark SykesElkan Baggott | ||
| 74′ | Mohamadou Kante | ||
| 80′ | Konstantinos Mavropanos | ||
| 81′ | Taïryk ArconteKyrell Lisbie | ||
| 81′ | Jenson MetcalfeM. Servais | ||
| 83′ | Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus | ||
| 86′ | Maximilian Kilman | ||
| 89′ | Mohamadou Kante | ||
| 90′ | Taty CastellanosLewis Orford | ||
| 90′ | Derek Mazou SackoLuke Cundle | ||
| 90′ | Konstantinos Mavropanos | ||
| 90′ | Kyrell Lisbie |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 33 | Possession % | 67 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 132 | Accurate passes | 335 |
Millwall vs West Ham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Millwall vs West Ham
| Probability | Millwall | Draw | West Ham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.3% | 20.6% | 55.1% |
| Market | 19.9% | 23.6% | 56.5% |
| Final | 21.0% | 22.8% | 56.2% |
| Edge | +4.5% | -3.0% | -1.4% |
Why West Ham
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.61.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Millwall and West Ham expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.03
Millwall and West Ham attack and defence ratings
Millwall
West Ham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Millwall vs West Ham: result vs prediction
Millwall 2 – 2 West Ham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Millwall vs West Ham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham | 56.2% | 1.78 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millwall | 21.0% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| West Ham | 56.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.6% |
| No | 26.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | West Ham win | 35.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.4% |
| 1-1 | 7.6% | |
| 1-3 | 6.8% |
Millwall vs West Ham stats
Millwall and West Ham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Millwall and West Ham going into this match
Millwall record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
West Ham record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Millwall vs West Ham head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-04 | West Ham | Millwall | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2011-09-17 | Millwall | West Ham | Championship | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Millwall vs West Ham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.9%, draw 23.6%, away 56.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.61 | 3.84 | 1.69 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 4.85 | 4.15 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 4.70 | 3.82 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | 5.03 | 4.02 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 3.41 | 3.35 | 1.80 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .