England Championship · Full time ·Matchday 8

Portsmouth vs Blackburn

2 – 2 Full time

4′Zak Swanson
11′Oladapo Afolayan
40′Marlon Pack
45′Rocco Robert SheinEbou Adams
47′Tom Atcheson
56′Ryoya Morishita
63′Marlon PackOdin Bailey
63′Conor ShaughnessyRegan Poole
68′Oladapo AfolayanAndri Guðjohnsen
69′Tom AtchesonMoussa·Baradji
71′Adrian SegecicColby·Bishop
74′Colby·Bishop
83′Todd CantwellJ. Fevrier
87′Ryan Kavuma-McQueenIyad Mohamed
89′Zak Swanson

Fratton Park, PortsmouthReferee: John Busby

Portsmouth 43%
Draw 28%
Blackburn 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 5
54 Possession % 46
9 Corners 7
16 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2
3 Saves 4
241 Accurate passes 240

Portsmouth vs Blackburn overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Portsmouth vs Blackburn

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPortsmouthDrawBlackburn
Model40.0%28.5%31.5%
Market43.9%28.0%28.0%
Final43.0%28.1%28.9%
Edge-4.0%+0.5%+3.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Portsmouth

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Portsmouth ↓ / Blackburn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Portsmouth and Blackburn expected goals

Portsmouth 1.41
Blackburn 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.64

Portsmouth and Blackburn attack and defence ratings

Portsmouth

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Blackburn

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Portsmouth vs Blackburn: result vs prediction

Portsmouth 2 – 2 Blackburn

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

England Championship

Before and after this match

Portsmouth vs Blackburn markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Portsmouth 43.0% 2.33 -4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.9% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.7% 1.83 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.0% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Portsmouth43.0%
Draw28.1%
Blackburn28.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.1%
Under 2.550.9%
Both teams to scoreYes54.7%
No45.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.1%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)57.0%
Handicap -1Portsmouth win19.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss60.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-08.8%
2-18.7%

Portsmouth vs Blackburn stats

Portsmouth and Blackburn recent form

newest first
Portsmouth DWLLWL
Blackburn WLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Portsmouth and Blackburn going into this match

league record before kick-off

Portsmouth record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Blackburn record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Portsmouth vs Blackburn head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Portsmouth wins 1Draws 3Blackburn wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07BlackburnPortsmouthEngland Championship1-1
2025-12-13PortsmouthBlackburnEngland Championship2-1
2025-03-29PortsmouthBlackburnChampionship1-0
2025-01-15BlackburnPortsmouthChampionship3-0
2018-02-13PortsmouthBlackburnLeague One1-2
2017-10-21BlackburnPortsmouthLeague One3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Portsmouth vs Blackburn odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 28.0%, away 28.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.13 3.34 3.34
Bet365 2.15 3.50 3.30
BetVictor 2.15 3.30 3.40
Betano 2.15 3.35 3.45
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.40
Marathonbet 2.11 3.34 3.34
Pinnacle 2.19 3.51 3.43
SBO 2.08 2.93 3.02
William Hill 2.10 3.25 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.13 ▲ +0.06
X 3.34 ▲ +0.04
2 3.34 ▼ -0.06

13 snapshots recorded, from .